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Motilal Oswal Report
Domestic brokerage firm Motilal Oswal has reiterated a 'Buy' call on Eternal Ltd. and has set a target price of Rs 380, implying a 34% upside from the current level.
The brokerage remains bullish on Zomato's food delivery business' improving trajectory, and believes that Blinkit remains a generational opportunity in hyperlocal commerce despite near-term growth normalisation.
Motilal Oswal continues to view FD as a stable duopoly with balanced market shares between Eternal and Swiggy and models ~20% gross order value growth over FY27–28 and assign a 35x EV/Ebitda multiple to the FD business, reflecting its steady margin trajectory and high user stickiness.
While the brokerage estimates that quick commerce growth is moderating at ~70% in FY27, it sees this as a normalisation, with improving unit economics and a clearer path to profitability.
Motilal Oswal factors in gradual margin expansion, led by store maturity and operating leverage.
The company has guided for $1 billion in adjusted Ebitda for the consolidated business by FY29E.
The estimates imply ~$500 million for quick commerce and ~425 million from FD, the balance being contributed by going out/district/hyperpure.
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