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Astral Sees Target Price Cut From PL Capital Despite Healthy Q4 Numbers — Here's Why

Post commissioning of the new CPVC resin plant, Astral is expected to gain meaningful market share in CPVC pipes and fittings along with margin improvement, with the full benefits likely to accrue from FY28 onwards.

Astral Sees Target Price Cut From PL Capital Despite Healthy Q4 Numbers — Here's Why
PL Capital expects Astral to achieve 15.0% volume CAGR in its P&F business over FY26-28.
(Photo: Company website)
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Astral Ltd
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NDTV Profit's special research section collates quality and in-depth equity and economy research reports from across India's top brokerages, asset managers and research agencies. These reports offer NDTV Profit's subscribers an opportunity to expand their understanding of companies, sectors and the economy.

PL Capital Report

Astral Ltd. reported healthy volume growth of 24.2% in the plastic pipe segment. The company delivered a plumbing Ebitda margin of 22.9% with a negligible impact of inventory gain. Ebitda per kg for the plastic pipes segment stood at Rs 41.9. The benefit of higher PVC resin prices is expected to reflect from Q1 FY27 onwards.

Management also expects PVC resin prices to rise further by Rs 5–7/kg, as China landing prices have already increased by Rs 3–4/kg. Accordingly, with rising raw material prices, volume offtake is expected to witness an uptick in the coming months.

Post commissioning of the new CPVC resin plant, the company is expected to gain meaningful market share in CPVC pipes and fittings along with margin improvement, with the full benefits likely to accrue from FY28 onwards. Company maintained its double-digit volume growth guidance in the piping segment with Ebitda margin of 16-18%.

PL Capital expects Astral to achieve 15.0% volume CAGR in its P&F business over FY26-28. During FY26, the Adhesive India business reported 15.1% revenue growth with Ebitda margin of 15.1%, while the brokerage expects double-digit revenue growth to continue going forward.

PL Capital estimates sales/Ebitda/PAT CAGR of 16.6%/20.2%/31.3% over FY26-28E.

The brokerage has cut its earnings estimate for FY27/28E by 4.4%/4.0%. Maintain ‘Buy' rating with revised DCF-based target price of Rs 1,813 (Rs 1,876 earlier).

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Pl Capital Astral Q4 Results Review.pdf
VIEW DOCUMENT

ALSO READ: Rolex Rings: IDBI Capital Stays Bullish on Improving Demand Outlook After Q4 Results — Check New Target Price

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