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This Article is From Nov 10, 2023

Top U.S. General Doubts Xi Planning To Take Taiwan By Force

The US’s top general said he doubts Beijing plans to try to take Taiwan militarily, comments that ease tensions on the issue of the island’s status before China’s leader meets President Joe Biden.

Top U.S. General Doubts Xi Planning To Take Taiwan By Force
Charles Q. Brown Jr., chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff nominee, during a ceremony in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington, DC, US, on Thursday, May 25, 2023. Brown previously served as commander of Pacific Air Forces and would probably play a significant role in assisting Biden as he develops his strategy for countering China in the Indo-Pacific.
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The US's top general said he doubts Beijing plans to try to take Taiwan militarily, comments that ease tensions regarding the island just before President Joe Biden meets China's leader.

“I do think that Xi Jinping doesn't necessarily want to take Taiwan by force,” Charles Q. Brown Jr., chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told reporters in Tokyo on Friday. “He will try to use other ways to do this.”

Brown added that he wrote to his Chinese counterpart, General Liu Zhenli, to establish lines of communication but hadn't yet interacted with him directly. “If the opportunity presents itself, I will definitely engage,” Brown said.

It was unclear when Brown sent the letter. He was confirmed as Joint Chiefs of Staff chair in September.

Taiwan has become one of the biggest points of contention in the China-US relationship. Beijing has held major military drills around the island twice over the past year-plus because Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen met senior US lawmakers, and Biden has repeatedly said the US would defend the democracy of 23 million people if it was attacked.

Both nations have recently accused each other of military provocations in the South China Sea, the body of water south of Taiwan that Beijing claims as its own. Those activities raise the risk of an accident spiraling into a conflict, a situation that's exacerbated by China severing key military links with the US because former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited Taiwan in August 2022.  

See: Biden, Xi Draw Business to APEC With Trade, Investment on Agenda

While China frequently employs fiery rhetoric regarding Taiwan and has not renounced the use of force in bringing the island under its sway, it has said it prefers other means. In March, former Premier Li Keqiang told lawmakers that his nation should “advance the process of China's peaceful reunification.”

Officials in Taipei have said they doubt China plans to invade soon, and after Russia attacked Ukraine in early 2022, Tsai played down concern that a similar crisis could erupt in Asia. 

Taiwan will likely be among the topics discussed when Xi and Biden gather for an expected meeting next week on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in San Francisco. The in-person talks would be the first between the leaders in a year.

Both nations have a reason to improve ties. China would like to focus on turning its economy around, while Biden is gearing up for a tough reelection campaign. 

More: China Unlikely to Launch ‘D-Day' on Taiwan, Singapore PM Says

Speaking at a roundtable with reporters, Brown also said the US hasn't shifted military assets out of the region since the Gaza crisis erupted on Oct. 7.

“All the capabilities we have here in the Indo-Pacific under the Indo-Pacific command, we have not touched that capability while we're focused not only on what's happening in Europe but the same in the Middle East,” he said.

(Updates with additional comments from Brown.)

More stories like this are available on bloomberg.com

©2023 Bloomberg L.P.

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