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HDFC Securities Report
Domestic brokerage HDFC Securities has cut target price of real estate developers to factor in slowing velocity, elongation of deal closure timeline and further compression in net asset value premium by 15-20% across developers.
The brokerage now values the sector at NAV with zero NAV premium.
The brokerage also noted that with correction in stock prices, the worst seems to be priced in as current slowdown is more sentiment driven rather demand destruction, accordingly estimates three-six months of slowdown with new sales pickup from festive season early Q3 FY27, anyways H1 is seasonally weaker.
The brokerage prefers mixed use developers with high rental portfolio and stable presales. Nirmal Bang has upgraded Godrej Properties to Buy given the correction.
Top picks: Prestige Estates, Godrej Properties, Oberoi Realty and Sobha
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