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CareEdge Research Report
Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee will meet for the upcoming bi-monthly policy review to gauze the macroeconomic environment and decide on the monetary policy rate and stance. The decision will be announced on October 06.
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Highlights:
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Even though Q1 GDP growth remained strong, economic headwinds have intensified since then with higher crude oil prices and an erratic monsoon.
Despite the persistent rise in inflation, primarily driven by the volatility in food prices, there are initial signs of a slowdown in food inflation. Meanwhile, core inflation remains relatively stable, with some easing observed in August.
Liquidity conditions have tightened and borrowing costs have remained elevated since the last policy.
The RBI is likely to prioritise supporting economic growth, especially during the festive season, while remaining cautious about inflation.
We anticipate that the RBI will keep its policy rates unchanged with a unanimous decision while adhering to its stance of ‘withdrawal of accommodation.'
We do not anticipate any further rate hikes by the RBI in this fiscal year.
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