(Bloomberg) -- The nickel market is showing more signs of stress.
Stockpiles held by the London Metal Exchange extended their decline on Tuesday, with the last increase coming in October. Buyers are paying a massive premium for immediately deliverable futures.
The key cash three-month spread, which briefly eased on news of additional shipments from Tsingshan Holding Group Co., notched new highs on Tuesday. Contracts for immediate delivery are trading at a $570-a-ton premium to those in three months, the highest such premium since a historic squeeze in 2007.
While the squeeze last month was focused on near-dated contracts, in recent days it has spread through the curve. That shows the market is now pricing in tighter nickel supplies for longer, amid strong demand from stainless steel producers and battery manufacturers.
The spread between February and March contracts has more than doubled in the past week, as has the spread between March and April contracts.
Base metals are extending gains after their best year in more than a decade, aided by strong demand and power-related supply disruptions. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. sees deficits across all refined metals, raising its 12-month targets for aluminum, copper and zinc.
Nickel rose 2% to settle at $22,764 a ton at 5:51 p.m. on the LME. Other main LME metals were mixed, with copper advancing 2% as comments from the U.S. Federal Reserve alleviated concerns over an aggressive tightening of monetary policy. Aluminum climbed for the first time in three sessions.
Chinese markets are shut all week for the Lunar New Year holiday, which is damping trade in Asia.
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