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Motilal Oswal Report
The key highlights of our May 2022 edition of ‘The Eagle Eye' are:
India underperformed in May-22, but still stands out and is outperforming global markets in CY22 till date, despite several macro headwinds, even as midcap/smallcap indices lag. In less than six months, the underperformance in IT has shaved off 300 basis points from its weightage in the Nifty.
Activity: Average daily cash volumes fell to Rs 619 billion – a five-month low, while non-institutional participation declined to 48% of total cash volumes in May-22 versus 58% in April 2022.
IPO rush: Around 45% of companies that listed in the last one-year are trading below their offer prices
Corporate earnings in Q4 and FY22 were resilient, with the Nifty earnings per share up 35% – the highest since FY04. Forward estimate revision for FY23 was stable. While gross domestic product growth was muted at 4.1% for Q4 FY22, the high-frequency macro data indicators show continued healthy trends (goods and services tax collection and Purchasing Managers' index readings).
Flows: foreign institutional investor outflows continued for the eighth consecutive month. In CY22 till date, outflows stood at $22.2 billion, but were compensated by domestic institutional investor inflows of $20.7 billion.
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