Deutsche Bank turnaround, March fed rate hike odds, China target, what people are talking about
(Bloomberg) -- Want to receive this post in your inbox every morning? Sign up here.
Deutsche Bank's new strategy, China's growth target, and it's a huge week for investors. Here are some of the things people in markets are talking about today.
Cryan's about-turn
Deutsche Bank AG's management approved plans yesterday that include raising about $8.5 billion in an equity sale. The measures, which amount to an abandonment of Chief Executive Officer John Cryan's own turnaround plan, also mean that Germany's largest lender will put its investment banking and trading units back together. Shares in the bank were down 6.1 percent at 5:10 a.m. Eastern Time. In other European financial corporate news, Standard Life Plc agreed to buy Aberdeen Asset Management Plc in an all-share deal that will create an $811 billion money manager. Both companies gained more than 5 percent in trading this morning.Â
March looks like a lock
Comments from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on Friday pushed the market-implied odds of a rate hike at the FOMC meeting this month close to 100 percent. With Fed speakers now in a blackout period until their March 14-15 meeting, traders will pay attention to economic data — particularly Friday's jobs report — to discern changes to the outlook.Â
China growth
Premier Li Keqiang said at Sunday's National People's Congress in Beijing that China's 2017 growth target is "around 6.5 percent," close to the 2016 target of 6.5 - 7 percent. He warned of profound changes in the international political and economic landscape, citing rising protectionism and the undoing of globalization as key challenges for policy makers. Credit growth is expected to continue this year, with the country predicted to add an amount equivalent to Germany's GDP to the stock of total social financing this year.Â
Markets slip
Overnight, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.4 percent, while Japan's Topix index slipped 0.2 percent as the yen strengthened against the dollar and after North Korea fired four ballistic missiles into nearby waters. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 Index was 0.5 percent lower at 5:36 a.m. as Deutsche Bank and miners dropped. U.S. market futures were also losing ground.Â
Huge week
While the key economic event this week is Friday's U.S. jobs report, there is a lot to watch ahead of that. On Wednesday, the U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond will present his budget as he seeks to cushion the fallout from the Brexit vote. On Thursday, the European Central Bank will hold its policy meeting as rising inflation is likely to put pressure on Mario Draghi's asset-purchase plan. At 10:00 a.m. today U.S. factory orders data is released, with expectations for 1 percent growth.Â
What we've been readingÂ
This is what's caught our eye over the weekend.
- Odd Lots Podcast: The incredible true story of the real life 'Trading Places.'
- Clapper denies Trump wiretapped as White House demands probe.
- Geopolitical risk visited South Korean markets today.
- China is finally falling in love with dairy.
- Stock market rally is helping the art market bounce back.
- Bird flu found in Tennessee, near top U.S. chicken states.
- The topsy turvy world of political science in Trump's America.Â
To contact the author of this story: Lorcan Roche Kelly in Dublin at lrochekelly@bloomberg.net.
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Isobel Finkel at ifinkel1@bloomberg.net, Tracy Alloway
-
Navigating Energy Crossroads: S Jaishankar's Call For Diversified Supply Chains At G20 Ministerial Meeting
As geopolitical fault lines continue to test maritime trade routes and commodity flows, Jaishankar's message remains pertinent: true economic resilience requires open markets, protected transit lines, and a genuine commitment to multilateral cooperation rather than coercion.
-
Indians Are Travelling, But Not Every Journey Is A Holiday | The Week In Whys
Pilgrims, patients and working women are the real travellers, and the system hasn't quite caught up with them.
-
Getting To Work Costs Women More | The Reason Why
It is not just about women paying more than men. It is about women paying much more in cities than in villages.
-
AI Bias In Investing Cannot Be Eliminated, But It Can Be Governed
Framing is a particularly important example as identical financial information presented in terms of gains rather than losses can lead an LLM to reach a different assessment.
-
Joining The Dots | Dark Skies, Steady Diya: Why Hope Holds This Diwali
With war, a weak rupee and foreign outflows weighing on sentiment, policymakers at the NDTV World Summit and market veterans at NDTV Profit Ignite: Diwali Edition offered the same advice: stay invested and filter out the noise.
-
The Curious Case of Equitas Small Finance Bank And A CEO Who Quit For Stock
PN Vasudevan believes persistent investor concerns over a perceived conflict of interest had become a governance overhang on Equitas Small Finance Bank's stock, even as the lender improved profitability and asset quality.
-
Talking Points This Week: AI Cash Burn, A Tiger Comeback And An India That Still Finds Its Own Path
India is not immune to higher oil or tighter global liquidity, yet its earnings base is broader, its domestic policy levers are still available.
-
Foreign Investors Own Half Of HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank. An LTCG Cut Could Matter Most Here
Foreign portfolio investors have US$115 billion parked in HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank. If the government cuts long-term capital gains tax, Jefferies says returning foreign money could land here first.
-
'Never Seen This Level Of Negativity': Sandeep Tandon Says The Next Rally May Be Closer Than You Think
Veteran investor Sandeep Tandon says foreign selling is easing, large-caps are due a comeback and mid-caps are crowded, while he turns positive on gold, power and pharma this Diwali.