The poll of exit polls for the 126 member Assam Assembly is pointing to a comfortable return to power for the ruling alliance with BJP+ projected to win 92 seats, while Congress+ likely to secure 29 seats.
The aggregated projections, based on seven major exit poll agencies, indicate a clear edge for the BJP-led NDA, with most surveys clustering in the 85–100 seat range, well above the majority mark of 64.
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Congress and its allies, meanwhile, appear confined largely to the 20–35 seat bracket.
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What the key exit polls say:
Axis My India: One of the most closely tracked pollsters projects BJP+ at 88–100 seats, suggesting a decisive mandate, while Congress+ is seen at 24–36 seats.
Janmat Polls: Estimates BJP+ between 87–98 seats, with Congress+ trailing at 29–30 seats, indicating a narrower but still clear gap.
JVC: Places BJP+ in the 88–101 seat range—among the higher projections—while Congress+ is seen at 23–33 seats, reinforcing the trend of a strong NDA lead.
Kamakhya Analytics: Forecasts BJP+ at 85–95 seats, with Congress+ between 26–39 seats, one of the relatively better showings for the opposition.
Matrize: Also gives BJP+ 85–95 seats, while pegging Congress+ at 25–32 seats, broadly in line with the consensus range.
Peoples Insight: Predicts BJP+ at 88–96 seats, with Congress+ at 30–34 seats, indicating a slightly stronger opposition presence but still short of competitiveness.
Poll Diary: Offers one of the widest ranges, projecting BJP+ at 86–101 seats and Congress+ at 15–26 seats, suggesting a potential worst-case scenario for the opposition.
Source | BJP+ | CONG+ | AIUDF+ | OTH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Axis My India | 88-100 | 24-36 | 0-0 | 0-3 |
Janmat polls | 87-98 | 29-30 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
JVC | 88-101 | 23-33 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
KAMAKHYA ANALYTICS | 85-95 | 26-39 | 0-0 | 0-3 |
Matrize | 85-95 | 25-32 | 0-0 | 6-12 |
Peoples Insight | 88-96 | 30-34 | 0-0 | 2-4 |
Poll Diary | 86-101 | 15-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Poll of Exit Polls | 92 | 29 | 1 | 4 |
Across pollsters, the trend is consistent: the BJP-led alliance is poised for a third straight term, with projections indicating a “comfortable majority” and sustained political dominance in the state.
While exit polls are not always precise and can vary in seat estimates, the convergence of multiple agencies around a clear BJP lead strengthens the overall signal ahead of counting day.
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