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Nirmal Bang Report
Tata Chemicals Ltd.'s consolidated profit after tax was a huge surprise based on the beat in U.S./India/Kenya revenues/margins and U.S. soda ash volume.
U.S. volume was a beat at 617,000 tonne versus estimate of 580,000 tonne, driven by healthy exports (up from 309,000 tonne to 323,000 tonne).
Ebitda margin was a 263 basis points beat, driven by higher pricing/margins in Kenya, India and U.S.
UK's positive Ebitda got eroded into a profit before tax loss due to a steep rise in the cost of carbon offset – up from £25-30/million tonne in March 2021 to £70/million tonne in March 2022.
Tata Chemicals expects heathy growth and pricing power in soda ash across all the regions, driven by a robust demand outlook (back to pre-pandemic volume) and no visible capacity addition over the next 18 months.
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