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This Article is From Jul 06, 2017

Morgan Stanley Downgrades Its Outlook For India’s Power Sector

Utilities running out of power

Morgan Stanley Downgrades Its Outlook For India’s Power Sector
People walk past a light bulb in Bihar, India (Photographer: Prashanth Vishwanathan/Bloomberg)

Global brokerage house Morgan Stanley has downgraded its outlook on the Indian power sector to ‘In-line' from its earlier ‘Attractive' rating, anticipating disruptions coming in from the renewable producers.

Traditional Vs Renewable

  • Solar power can now be produced at almost the same cost of traditional methodology (coal-based)
  • Wind energy as the tariff for the same is only marginally higher than coal-based tariff

Besides that, increase in energy efficiency would lead to lower demand growth, the report said.

Other Key Takeaways

  • Expect India to be the fastest growing solar market in the world in 2016-2020
  • Markets have not paid due attention to the recent solar bids
  • Utilities have not priced in the upcoming disruptions

Stock Calls

  • NTPC downgraded to ‘Equal-weight' with a target of Rs 149 per share
  • Adani Power downgraded to ‘Underweight' with a target of Rs 21 per share
  • Tata Power upgraded to ‘Overweight' with a target of Rs 101 per share

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