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SBI Research Report
In India, we have 51 cases of Delta Plus variant in 12 states by end-June.
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New cases in top 15 districts, which are mostly urban increased again in June. But the good thing is that their fatality rate has been constant for 3 months.
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However, the share of rural districts in new cases has refused to decline meaningfully since July 2020, when it breached 45% and has vacillated since then. Vaccination seems to be the only answer.
Global data shows that on an average third wave peak cases are around 1.7 times the peak cases at the time of second wave.
India has achieved its second wave peak on May 7 and going by the current data, India can experience cases around 10,000 somewhere around 2nd week of July. However, the cases can start rising by second fortnight of August!
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