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Motilal Oswal Report
Systemic loan is showing signs of a revival with credit growth accelerating to ~8.5% YoY as of March 11, 2022, underpinned by strong disbursements across segments.
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Disbursement growth across several retail products has surpassed the pre-Covid-19 levels, while the corporate segment too witnessed a revival with a focus on high-rated corporates primarily for working capital needs.
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We expect the capex cycle to pick-up during H2 FY23, which will drive further recovery in loan growth over FY23E. Among the segments – home, vehicle, tractor, unsecured and small business will continue to do well in Q4 FY22 while commercial vehicle and micro finance institution are likely to trail the normalised levels.
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