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This Article is From Jul 17, 2023

Bandhan Bank Shares Fall As Most Analysts Maintain 'Sell' After Q1 Profit Drop

Bandhan Bank Shares Fall As Most Analysts Maintain 'Sell' After Q1 Profit Drop
A Bandhan Bank branch and ATM in Kolkata. (Source: Bank's website)

Shares of Bandhan Bank Ltd. fell on Monday after most analysts maintained 'sell' on the stock following a decline in the private lender's first-quarter profit.

Brokerages cited a deterioration in the bank's asset quality and weak growth in both microfinance and current account savings accounts, according to analysts.

The bank's net profit declined 10.77% quarter-on-quarter to Rs 721.05 crore in the quarter ended June, according to an exchange filing. The total operating profit fell 12.97% quarter-on-quarter to Rs 1,563 crore.

Brokerages Views

Ambit Capital Pvt.

  • Maintains ‘sell' with a target price of Rs 155.

  • Asset quality deterioration is seen across the board.

  • Microfinance's annualised slippage rate was 11%.

  • The overall elevated credit cost stood at 2.4% versus management's guidance of 1.8–2.2% for FY24.

  • Assets under management growth is much lower than the stated guidance of 20% year-on-year.

  • Deposit mobilisation looks challenging for the bank, with a CASA decline of 3% YoY.

  • Expected RoE of less than 15% in FY24–25.

Investec

  • The brokerage reiterates ‘sell' with the target price revised from Rs 200 to Rs 180.

  • Weak quarter due to the seasonality of the MFI portfolio, leading to weaker pre-provisional operating profit and higher asset quality stress.

  • A pivot to the secured portfolio weakens operating performance.

  • Overall advances grew by 6.7% YoY.

  • Growth remains weak in both MFI and CASA.

  • Estimate lower normalised growth of 16% and RoE of 14%.

Nomura

  • The brokerage maintains ‘buy' with the target price reduced from Rs 325 to Rs 270.

  • Profit after tax was ahead of estimates, with the beat largely led by a sharply lower credit cost of 2.6%.

  • The PAT beat was aided by a lower provisioning coverage ratio of 69%.

  • The brokerage said that the recoveries from the credit guarantee fund for microunits will be a key monitorable over the near term.

  • Pick-up in growth outlook is essential for re-rating.

  • Cuts overall loan book estimates by 3% across FY24–26F.

  • Expected RoE of 18-19% over FY24-26F.

Shares of Bandhan Bank fell 3.02% to Rs 214.90 apiece, compared to a 0.28% rise in the benchmark NSE Nifty 50 at 12:00 p.m.

The stock declined 3.38% intraday. The total traded volume so far in the day stood at 5.1 times its 30-day average. The relative strength index was at 32.94, implying that the stock was neither overbought, nor oversold.

Of the 28 analysts tracking the company, 22 maintain a ‘buy', four recommend a ‘hold', and two suggest a ‘sell' on the stock, according to Bloomberg data. The average 12-month consensus price target implies an upside of 28.8%.

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