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Systematix Research Report
Atul Ltd. reported lower-than-estimated operating performance in Q4 FY22, with a sharp drop in Ebitda to Rs 2 billion (down 19% YoY and 18% QoQ), versus our estimate of Rs 2.7 billion.
We attribute the variance to 780 basis points YoY and 320 bps QoQ compression in Ebitda margin to 15%, caused by 530 bps YoY drop in gross margin to 47.5% and higher staff and other expenses. Prices of all key raw materials increased 20-200% YoY.
Global coal shortage and Russia-Ukraine conflict accentuated the pressure on fuel prices, which surged 200% YoY.
Weak availability of shipping lines led to the disruption in the global supply chain, which caused freight costs to surge ~300% YoY.
We expect Atul's operating profit margin to improve 300-350 bps over FY22-24E, with 13% compound annual growth rate in revenue during this period, as margins are expected to recover in the coming quarters.
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