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This Article is From Sep 13, 2023

Global Oil Shortfall Looms Despite Output Gain And Soft Demand, U.S. Says

The US expects the global oil market to tighten by the end of 2023, even as crude production rises and demand for refined products remains soft.

Global Oil Shortfall Looms Despite Output Gain And Soft Demand, U.S. Says
A natural gas flare burns near an oil pump jack at the New Harmony Oil Field in Grayville, Illinois, US, on Sunday, June 19, 2022. Top Biden administration officials are weighing limits on exports of fuel as the White House struggles to contain gasoline prices that have topped $5 per gallon.

The US expects the global oil market to tighten by the end of 2023, even as crude production rises and demand for refined products remains soft. 

Crude consumption is set to outstrip supplies worldwide by 230,000 barrels a day in the fourth quarter, the US Energy Information Administration said Tuesday in a monthly report. The US is projecting a much smaller shortfall than OPEC predicted in an earlier report, which showed a deficit of 3 million barrels a day — potentially the biggest in more than a decade. 

The constraints come as Saudi Arabia extends production cuts, sending prices surging beyond $90 a barrel in London. Though global output is projected to rise, most of the gains are projected to come from non-OPEC countries. Meanwhile, the EIA lowered its forecast for US gasoline demand after the Census Bureau revised its population estimate to include fewer people of working age.

The International Energy Agency's global oil outlook is due Wednesday.

More stories like this are available on bloomberg.com

©2023 Bloomberg L.P.

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