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Prabhudas Lilladher Report
We increase our FY21E earnings estimates by 30% to incorporate nine months FY21 inventory gains of Rs 37.4 billion and higher other income; FY22-23E estimates changed by down 4/9% to factor in higher depreciation and increased marketing volumes.
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During Q3 FY21, core standalone Ebitda adjusted for inventory and forex gains was at Rs 16.8 billion (17%YoY) due to higher marketing earnings.
Uncertain global demand and high inventory levels will likely keep crude oil prices range bound, which will support marketing margins in medium term.
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