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Gold Bulls To Bounce Back? Why JPMorgan Sees Metal Touching A Record $6,000 By 2026-End

Stronger US labour market and uncertainty over interest rates is expected to keep the precious metal rates volatile in the near term.

Gold Bulls To Bounce Back? Why JPMorgan Sees Metal Touching A Record $6,000 By 2026-End
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  • Gold prices rose 0.74% to $4,100.38 on November 9 after a Diwali dip and oil price cooling
  • Spot silver also gained 1.13% to $52.54 amid market volatility and US dollar weakness
  • JP Morgan predicts gold could reach $6,000 an ounce by year-end, a 46.34% increase

Gold prices recovered on Monday, November 9, a day after Diwali as oil prices cooled, while the US dollar slipped.The recent rally comes after days of volatililty with prices surging following US midterm elections, while it fell again, when strong US jobs data raised expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in December.

The latest surge has raised questions if gold's long-term upward momentum can be sustained. Gold prices are expected to jump towards $6,000 an ounce by the year ends, nearly 46.34% rise from the current market price, NDTV reported, citing estimates by JP Morgan. Both stronger US labour market and uncertainty over interest rates is expected to keep the precious metal rates volatile in the near term, it added.

On Monday, Spot Gold rose 0.74% to $4,100.38, while Spot silver traded 1.13% higher at $52.54. In India too, MCX gold December futures jumped 0.71% to Rs 1,43,547 and MCX silver December futures surged 1.12% to Rs 1,87,180.

Also Read | Layoffs Are Rising In Tech, But These Skills Are Helping People Unlock Better Pay

READ | World Bank's Gold Forecast For 2028 Is Almost Exactly Today's Price

Gold's current decline comes as oil prices slipped on Monday, with Brent crude falling below $94 a barrel after recording its biggest weekly loss since April 2020. Brent crude futures fell 4.5% to $93.86 per barrel after US President Donald Trump struck a more conciliatory tone about Iran over the weekend, saying it's “highly unlikely” he will order extensive strikes on the Islamic Republic.

Both oil and gold prices have moved inversely in 2026 as higher energy prices raised expectations of tighter monetary policy, a headwind for the non-yielding metal. Treasury yields and crude have tumbled in recent sessions as expectations grow over Democrats, after taking control of Congress, will push to end the conflict with Iran, with the government likely to less support for higher spending and borrowing.

Additionally, the US Federal Reserve is expected to hike rates at its next meeting. A tighter monetary policy typically creates downward pressure on gold prices.

Meanwhile, China's central bank continued to increase its gold reserves in October, extending its buying streak to two consecutive years, Bloomberg reported.
READ | What Happens To Gold If The AI Boom Cools? Jefferies Has An Answer

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