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Stock Picks Today: Axis Bank, RIL, Adani Green, IEX And More On Brokerages' Radar

Check out top stocks under brokerages' radar heading into trade today.

Stock Picks Today: Axis Bank, RIL, Adani Green, IEX And More On Brokerages' Radar
Photo: NDTV Profit

Brokerages rolled out fresh calls on IndusInd Bank, Axis Bank, Adani Green, Swiggy, RIL and more, while also flagging trends across life insurance and Indian markets as a whole.

Macquarie on IndusInd Bank

  • Maintain Underperform with TP of Rs 635
  • Q4 FY26: ROA improves
  • Significant beat to Q4FY26 estimates due to lower credit cost
  • Need to see how deposit growth picks up
  • No capital raising in FY27; ROEs to remain sub-par near term

Jefferies on IEX

  • Maintain Underperform; Cut TP to Rs 100 from Rs 105
  • Market coupling threat remains
  • See 0% EPS CAGR in FY26-29E despite not assuming commission price cut
  • Believe this regulation will accelerate the market share loss for the company
  • Estimates factor 80%+ share in FY25-26 reducing to 60% by FY28E
  • Remain concerned on profitability decline

Macquarie on RIL

  • Maintain Outperform with TP of Rs 1570
  • Mar-Q: Soft print; Jio subs growth supportive
  • Q4 miss led by softness in the Energy divisions and a lower margin in Retail
  • Upstream Gas EBITDA is now in structural decline with KGD6 production past peak
  • See additional downside risk related to weakness in the Energy segments
  • Outperform-rated on Reliance as we see positive sentiment into the Jio listing

Macquarie on M&M Finance

  • Maintain Underperform with TP of Rs 280
  • Q4FY26: ROA at 2.4% is good, growth weak
  • Q4FY26: PAT in line with estimates, lower opex offset by rise in provisions
  • Higher NIM temporary; Elevated credit costs due to overlay
  • Growth and ROA metrics lower than peers, maintain Underperform

Macquarie on Shriram Finance

  • Maintain Outperform with TP of Rs 1220
  • A good year; focus now shifts to FY27
  • Q4FY26: Opex control drives beat on PAT estimates
  • Conservative margin outlook as focus shifts toward growth
  • Credit cost under wraps, but remains a key monitorable

Jefferies on Hindustan Zinc

  • Maintain Buy with TP of Rs 700
  • Good Earnings Growth Momentum
  • EPS has risen at 34% CAGR over FY24-26; expect a further 33% growth in FY27 led by higher metal prices
  • Its 8.6x FY27E EV/EBITDA is above long-term average of 7.8x, but justified for rising share of silver in EBIT
  • Silver to remain in deficit in 2026; Largely balanced market for zinc in 2026

Citi on Hindustan Zinc

  • Maintain Sell; Cut TP to Rs 520 from Rs 585
  • Q4 Slightly Ahead; Expect Downtrend in Zinc Prices
  • 31% Dividend Payout in FY26 Disappoints

Citi on ICICI Lombard

  • Maintain Sell with TP of Rs 1735
  • See pressure on retail health claims ratio once new business moderates
  • Multiple new entrants with strong capital backing are expected to commence operations in non-life insurance
  • This could further amplify the competitive pressure, especially in retail segments
  • Case for a motor TP tariff hike remains weak, especially against the backdrop of elevated commission construct

Kotak Securities on CIE Auto

  • Maintain Reduce with TP of Rs 465
  • Decent quarter aided by industry tailwinds
  • Expect the CIE Automotive India business to marginally outperform domestic blended automotive industry growth
  • EU automotive business trends remain muted; however, favorable translation should drive growth in INR terms

Bernstein on Paytm

  • Maintain Outperform with TP of Rs 1500
  • Paytm - RBI cancels Payments Bank license
  • No impact on current business/numbers
  • Company had taken a write-off related to its investment - hence no one-offs expected either
  • Paytm has no role in the current management/board, the harsh language in the RBI's letter is concerning
  • For the super optimistic investor, this development could be seen as clearing the way for the company to apply for a NBFC or PPI license
  • This can pave way for certain payments products (e.g. wallet) and credit products to be offered by Paytm

Jefferies on Paytm

  • Maintain Buy with TP of Rs 1350
  • Cancellation of Paytm Payments Bank's License has Low Impact for Paytm
  • All of Paytm's services continue to be operational
  • Buy call stays

MS on RIL

  • Maintain Overweight with TP of Rs 1803
  • Positives: Better-than-expected Retail growth, led by quick commerce, fashion and grocery; FMCG revenue grew 2.2x
  • Negatives: Oil-to-chemical margins underperformed peers, and Upstream oil and gas production division missed EBIDTA on higher costs
  • Leveraging energy and chemical market tightness and sustained recovery in retail top-line growth is key for RIL to reverse its recent underperformance
  • See signs of that emerging in chemicals, fuel and consumer retail

Jefferies on IndusInd Bank

  • Maintain Buy; Hike TP to Rs 1100 from Rs 1000
  • Q4: Turning Around
  • Earnings ahead of estimates aided by lower credit cost and higher treasury gains
  • Leadership team & Board resets are largely done, quality of collaboration will be key
  • Expect uptick in growth & improvement in profitability
  • Valuations attractive; Buy call stays

Jefferies on Adani Green

  • Maintain Buy; Hike TP to Rs 1435 from Rs 1260
  • Evacuation Issues Impact Capacity Addition
  • EBITDA was 5% above expectations given lower operating expenses
  • Mgmt highlighted that 4.5-5 GW is a more realistic capacity addition target vs their 7-8 GW capability given evacuation issues
  • Lower FY27 addition estimate to 5 GW vs 6.3 GW earlier
  • Company is on its way to delivering 50 GW by 2030 vs 19.3 GW current capacity

MS India Strategy

  • Q1CY26 Ownership Trends: FPI Ownership at 16-year Low
  • Domestic investors' ownership hit new highs whereas FPI ownership retreated to a 16-year low
  • Expect strong institutional demand for primary issuances, alongside a potential pickup in buybacks
  • Domestic ownership rose 40 bps QoQ, making a new high of 29%, led by institutional bid
  • Controlling stakeholders' ownership recovered from multi-year lows
  • Largest overweight and underweight positions for institutions are in Financials and Materials, respectively

Kotak Securities on GMR Airports

  • Maintain Buy with TP of Rs 112
  • Acquiring stake at an opportune point in the value cycle
  • ~11% of shareholding on diluted basis transferred between promoters
  • Deal suggests confidence of the GMR group in value addition in airports
  • Key imponderable is the ability of the group to raise the remaining US$0.8 bn
  • Next two years critical in the evolution of airport EBITDA

HSBC on Shriram Finance

  • Maintain Buy; Hike TP to Rs 1200 from Rs 1050
  • Delivering amidst challenges
  • Q4 earnings beat was driven by strong operating cost control, resulting in sharp expansion in RoAs
  • Uncertain macro environment and weaker monsoon would be key monitorables for growth and asset quality outlook

HSBC on IndusInd Bank

  • Maintain Buy; Hike TP to Rs 1100 from Rs 880
  • Course correction visible
  • Q4 earnings performance underscores the gradual course correction being undertaken by management
  • Increase FY27/28 EPS estimates by 20/10%, respectively, to build in stronger loan growth, margins, and lower credit costs

Bernstein on IndusInd Bank

  • Maintain Outperform with TP of Rs 1000
  • Visible improvement in asset quality
  • Signs of stabilization in the balance sheet
  • RoA improvement led by lower credit costs

HSBC on Life Insurance

  • Valuation reset creates opportunity
  • Impact on valuations can be largely attributable to frequent changes to regulations; fundamental outlook remains robust
  • Recent share price weakness has improved the risk-reward
  • Current valuations imply modest VNB CAGR expectations
  • Expect limited impact from evolving regulations and retain a positive outlook on sector
  • Prefer SBI LIFE
  • ICICI Pru Life – Maintain Buy with TP of Rs 690
  • HDFC Life – Maintain Buy with TP of Rs 690
  • SBI Life – Maintain Buy with TP of Rs 2270

HSBC on Hindustan Zinc

  • Maintain Buy; Hike TP to Rs 730 from Rs 720
  • Strong zinc and sulfuric acid should offset higher costs and weak silver production
  • Q4 earnings beat on higher volumes and lower costs; interim DPS of Rs 11/share declared for FY27
  • Guidance for zinc-lead in line, silver marginally lower; higher sulfuric acid, LME to offset higher costs

CLSA on Swiggy

  • Maintain Outperform with TP of Rs 357
  • Swiggy is scaling Toing, but what's the cost?
  • Toing's profitability hinges on successful batching and ad monetisation
  • Data indicate a rise in usage in the past two months
  • Toing is seeing a rapid pickup in consumer adoption, as per app usage and download data
  • Initiative seeks to scale volumes, improve logistics efficiency and widen the addressable market
  • Early traction appears strong, indicating rising acceptance of a value-led proposition
  • We are concerned about the effect on profitability of Toing and the main app due to cannibalisation of the customer base

Jefferies on Axis Bank

  • Maintain Buy; Hike TP to Rs 1700 from Rs 1660
  • Q4: Slight Miss, but Core Trends Are Improving; Stays Among Top Picks
  • Loan growth pick-up led by corporate; disbursement uptick to lift retail growth
  • Deposit moderates slightly; Asset quality continues to improve
  • Raise estimates and see valuations attractive

Jefferies on Shriram Finance

  • Maintain Buy; Cut TP to Rs 1210 from Rs 1220
  • March Q Results: Profit Beat on Lower Opex; Mixed Core Trends
  • AUM growth and NIM was tad below our estimate
  • GNPA was steady, but GS2 inched up QoQ
  • AUM growth can lag Mgmt target, but NIMs should surprise positively & offset this
  • Expect 17% EPS CAGR & ROE of 13/14% over FY27-28; Valuations seem reasonable

Jefferies on IDFC First

  • Maintain Buy with TP of Rs 82
  • Q4: Improving Core Trends; Tad Lower NIM Drives Slight Est Cuts
  • Credit quality continues to improve; Tad softer growth in loans and deposits
  • Trim estimates by 3% to factor in results, but profitability should see marked improvement with lower credit costs
  • ROA to reach 1% by FY28

MS on Can Fin Homes

  • Maintain Overweight with TP of Rs 1000
  • Q4: PBT beat of 2%; Disbursements beat of 10%
  • Disbursements growth, a key monitorable; Run-offs remain elevated
  • Loan growth was led by non-housing loans
  • NII missed; reported loan spread fell 1 bps QoQ on 8 bps lower yields
  • Borrowing costs fell against expectation of stable QoQ
  • Had highlighted successive quarters of NIM beats prior to Q4 could be a potential timing difference
  • Await management's outlook on NIM, loan growth

MS on L&T Finance

  • Maintain Underweight with TP of Rs 160
  • Q4: Largely in line results; ROE<COE
  • PPOP was 2% below our estimates
  • MFI collections were largely normalized
  • Continue to see risks to our estimates and consensus on loan growth and NIM
  • Below consensus EPS estimates by 14% in FY27 and 15% in FY28

Citi on Shriram Finance

  • Maintain Buy; Hike TP to Rs 1180 from Rs 1160
  • In-line Core; Headwinds Weigh on Growth/Credit Cost
  • Growth steady; persistent headwinds may pose risk to 18-20% growth target
  • MUFG equity infusion fortifies the balance sheet, providing robust capital buffers to navigate macro uncertainties and absorb potential credit risks

Citi on M&M Finance

  • Maintain Buy; Cut TP to Rs 380 from Rs 425
  • NIMs/Spreads Sustain, Buffers Cushion; Growth Ramp-Up to Watch
  • GS3/GS2 at multi-year lows; Overlay buffer elevated prudently
  • Prolonged geopolitical conflict may weigh on underlying vehicles sales

Kotak Securities on Axis Bank

  • Maintain Buy; Hike TP to Rs 1600 from Rs 1500
  • Stable core performance; provisions do not derail the thesis
  • A few one-offs but internals look comfortable
  • Growth accelerating across segments; NIM takes an impact
  • Significant relative re‑rating versus peers has already occurred, making further outperformance materially harder to sustain

Kotak Securities on RIL

  • Q4: Below estimates on weak O2C and E&P
  • O2C: Crude sourcing challenges, high costs, product diversion and SAED
  • Retail: Relatively subdued on weaker volume recovery and further decline in margins
  • E&P: Impacted by declining volumes, lower realization and higher costs

MS on RBL Bank

  • Maintain Equal-weight with TP of Rs 305
  • Q4: Miss driven by lower NIM
  • PAT was below largely led by lower NII and lower fees
  • Credit costs stayed elevated due to higher slippages in credit cards
  • Stay Equal-weight on valuations

MS on IndusInd Bank

  • Maintain Equal-weight with TP of Rs 730
  • Good quarter; Gradual improvement in profitability ahead
  • PAT beat was led by lower provisions driven by lower slippages and credit costs
  • Core PPoP saw a 4% miss led by lower core fees however was supported by lower operating expenses
  • Balance sheet growth remained subdued

MS on Axis Bank

  • Maintain Overweight with TP of Rs 1575
  • Good risk-adjusted outcome
  • Q4 gross and net slippages fell sharply
  • Core PPOP missed estimates due to lower core fees and higher costs
  • Balance sheet grew robustly and has been strengthened for macro risks

MS on IDFC First Bank

  • Maintain Equal-weight with TP of Rs 65
  • Q4FY26: Good core progression
  • Core PPOP was 2% estimates aided by higher core fees and inline NII
  • Lower credit costs led by lower slippages across MFI and other segments
  • Headline PAT, helped by tax breaks

Kotak Securities on M&M Finance

  • Upgrade to Buy from Reduce; Hike TP to Rs 350 from Rs 340
  • Tightening the belt
  • Core earnings beat in Q4FY26
  • Better-placed for a challenging year ahead
  • Growth tepid, scaling selectively
  • Valuations are inexpensive, ignoring the positive changes

ALSO READ: Five Stocks To Buy: Hindalco, Bharat Forge, REC And More | Apr 27, 2026

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