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CareEdge Research Report
Highlights:
The Monetary Policy Committee to maintain the policy rate unchanged in this meeting, the governor's statement to have a dovish undertone.
Focus on liquidity management and financial stability will continue. Measures to inject liquidity likely going ahead.
The MPC is expected to revise its inflation projection for FY25 upwards, aligning more closely with our forecast of 4.8%.
We expect Reserve Bank of India to revise its gross domestic product growth forecast downwards, closer to our projection of 6.5% for FY25.
We expect the Consumer Price Index inflation to fall below 5% in Q4 FY25, providing a window for a 25-basis points rate cut in February policy meeting.
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