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India Exports Seen Ending FY26 Higher Despite Middle-East Tensions, US Tariff Pressure

The projected outcome for FY26 points to continued resilience in India's exports amid a challenging global trade environment, although risks from geopolitical tensions and protectionist trends remain.

India Exports Seen Ending FY26 Higher Despite Middle-East Tensions, US Tariff Pressure
(Photo source: Unsplash)

India's exports are likely to close FY26 higher, holding steady despite disruptions linked to tensions in West Asia and tariff pressure from the United States.

The trend follows a strong base in FY25, when total exports of goods and services stood at about $825.3 billion. Early FY26 data shows exports have sustained momentum, led by services trade and stable performance in select merchandise segments.

The outlook had weakened earlier due to disruption in key shipping routes linked to tensions in the Middle East, which raised logistics costs and affected delivery timelines. At the same time, concerns over trade measures and tariff action by the US added to uncertainty for exporters.

The expected expansion in FY26 reflects how India's export sector has managed these pressures, supported by market diversification, demand for services and policy support measures.

Sectors including electronics, engineering goods and services helped maintain stability, even as some traditional export segments faced pressure.

The projected outcome for FY26 points to continued resilience in India's exports amid a challenging global trade environment, although risks from geopolitical tensions and protectionist trends remain.

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