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This Article is From Mar 03, 2022

Turkish Inflation Climbs to Fresh 20-Year High on Lira, Energy

Turkish Inflation Climbs to Fresh 20-Year High on Lira, Energy

Turkey's inflation jumped to a fresh 20-year high in February, driven by a weak lira and a surge in energy and food prices.

Consumer prices rose an annual 54.4% through last month, up from 48.7% in January. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 22 analysts predicted an acceleration to 52.5%.

Monthly inflation was 4.8%, compared with the median estimate of 3.75% in a separate survey.

Below are the highlights of the inflation report published by Turkstat on Thursday:

  • Producer prices rose 7.2% through the month, bringing annual inflation to 105%
  • The rate of inflation in energy stood at 83% from 76.4% in January, led by gasoline and power costs. Turkey has recently cut taxes on household power consumption but the impact will only be seen from March
  • Annual price gains in food, which makes up roughly a quarter of the consumer basket, accelerated to 64.5% from 55.6%, even after the government cut taxes on food
  • A core inflation index, which strips out the impact from volatile items such as food, energy and gold, rose to 44.1% from 39.5% in January

Markets

  • The lira was trading 0.7% lower at 14.1268 per dollar as of 10:05 a.m. in Istanbul

Background

  • The acceleration takes Turkey's benchmark interest rate adjusted for inflation to around negative 40%, the lowest real yield by far among emerging markets
  • Retail price inflation in Istanbul, Turkey's commercial capital, climbed to 55.3% last month from 50.9% in January
  • The central bank will hold its next rate-setting meeting on March 17
  • Turkey's central bank held rates for a second month in February after it slashed 500 basis points in late 2021. The cuts sent the lira into a tailspin that's accelerated consumer price rises. Although lira sustained stability earlier, the local currency lost around 5.8% of its value against the dollar this year with investors avoiding riskier assets amid a slew of sanctions imposed on Russia over its war on Ukraine

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

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