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This Article is From Apr 10, 2018

Worst Is Over For Indian Real Estate Stocks, Says Deutsche Bank

Worst Is Over For Indian Real Estate Stocks, Says Deutsche Bank
Men play volleyball near the under construction Godrej Prime, a residential propert project developed by Godrej Properties Ltd., in the Chembur area of Mumbai, India. (Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg)

The worst of the policy-specific drags are behind the Indian real estate companies, according to a Deutsche Bank report, which suggests the cyclical momentum is beginning to turn supportive.

The demand-supply dynamics in the commercial segment has improved for developers and a gradual bottoming out is being seen in the residential property market, the lender said in a research note. It said investors are under-pricing the medium to long-term growth opportunities in a more organized and consolidated real estate industry in India.

The Indian real estate sector is entering a structured growth phase.

Also Read: Mumbai Home Prices Drop First Time In A Decade, Says Knight Frank

The lender initiated coverage on Godrej Properties Ltd. and Oberoi Realty Ltd. with a ‘Buy' rating.

Here what it had to say on the two:

Godrej Properties

  • Initiated ‘Buy' with a target price of Rs 1,000, implying a potential upside of 37.36 percent from current levels.
  • Recommendation premised on the company's scalable business model and pan-India brand equity.
  • Company best positioned to capitalise on industry consolidation trends.
  • Expect company's return on equity to improve from 11 percent in financial year 2016-17 to 17 percent in financial year 2019-20.
  • Expect earnings growth momentum to improve in the coming years.

Oberoi Realty

  • Initiated ‘Buy' with a target price of Rs 650, implying a potential upside of 27.46 percent.
  • Company to be a prime beneficiary of recent regulatory developments led formalisation and consolidation in the sector.
  • Expect company's profit growth momentum to accelerate significantly over FY18-20.

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