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Sensex Swings 781 Points, Ends With Gain

Sensex Swings 781 Points, Ends With Gain
A bronze bull statue stands at the entrance to the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) building in Mumbai, India.(Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg)
7 years ago
In the intraday deals, Sensex swung 781 points while the Nifty touched high of 10,567 and low of 10,334.

While the current scenario could lead to lower market levels, we believe that the fundamentals of corporate India are likely to improve and therefore the current downtrend would pose an attractive value for the long-term investors, Nilesh Shah, MD & CEO, Envision Capital, told BloombergQuint in an interview.

Key highlights of the conversation:

  • The investors are currently focusing on the political outcome over the corporate earnings. This would lead to some uncertainty and therefore the investors would hold back until there is clarity.
  • We are bullish on India with a long-term view due to falling commodities and crude oil prices.

  • 3M India: The Bengaluru-based container and packaging products maker fell as much as 1.15 percent to Rs 20,700. Trading volume was 40 times its 20-day average.
  • Gayatri Projects: The Hyderabad-based road developer rose as much as 8 percent to Rs 176. Trading volume was 12 times its 20-day average.
  • GE Power: The Noida-based power generation and energy deliver services company rose as much as 1.5 percent to Rs 825. Trading volume was 10 times its 20-day average.
  • IFB Industries: The Kolkata-based home improvement products maker rose as much as 4 percent to Rs 811.25. Trading volume was more than seven times its 20-day average.

F&O data suggest significant build-up in open interest in futures of 23 non-bank lenders’ stocks. Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services Ltd., Ujjivan Financial Services Ltd. and other peers saw an increase in long positions.

About 77 percent of the stocks in F&O universe, including Colgate Palmolive Ltd., Jubilant Foodworks Ltd. and Godrej Industries Ltd., have seen buying positions. That’s a complete turnaround compared with the extreme sentiment going into the state election verdict day with 91 percent of the scrips on negative side since start of this expiry.

About 60 percent of the stocks had seen a short build-up while 31 percent witnessed long liquidation since Nov. 30 until close of trade on Monday. Such an extreme sentiment sometimes acts as a contrarian indicator and it may not be a surprise if market stabilises at the current levels in the near term.

Follow Nifty Bank Options To Understand Market Recovery

Relationship between Reserve Bank of India and government is of of natural friction and its requires maturity on both sides but surprised Urjit Patel's resignation, Vallabh Bhansali, co-founder of Enam Financial Consultants told BloombergQuint in an interview.

Key highlights of the conversation:

  • Patel gave great account of his capability on various fronts
  • Oil is biggest factor for Indian markets
  • China - U.S. trade war, prospects of a recession in the U.S. a cause for concern
  • Domestic order and demand situation fairly encouraging
  • Need a healthier dialogue between Government and RBI to manage a complex country like India
  • Communication lines need to be open between the government and RBI
  • Investment climate in India is just starting to thaw
  • Need to ensure that the deserving are not starved of credit
  • Need more understanding about RBI's reserves and government's intentions for the same
  • Resolution of the bad loan issue needs to continue
  • It is clear that the board cannot run the RBI
  • India has a real opportunity to assert its position on the world
  • No institution can be over and above the national agenda
  • Slightly surprised by the market reaction considering the uncertainty
  • A BJP victory in Madhya Pradesh will give the markets comfort

About 15 lakh shares of ICICI Bank changed hands in a block deal, according to Bloomberg data. Buyers and sellers were not known immediately.

Nifty's 10,000 strike price put option contract was among the most active option contracts on the National Stock Exchange.

Premium on the contract rose 10 percent to Rs 56. Over 8 lakh shares were added to the open interest which stood at over 53.48 lakh shares.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi ahead of parliament session:

  • Have made a constant effort to engage in dialogue on all subjects
  • Hope that the house works longer than scheduled
  • Hope all parties make use of this session in the interest of the people

Shares of the Pune-based IT firm rose nearly 4.4 percent to Rs 236.50 per share.

Zensar Technologies was selected as IT infrastructure partner by European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, according to a notification to the bourses.

The stock traded at 16 times its estimated earnings per share for the coming year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Shares of the West Bengal-based rail carriage maker rose as much as 9.4 percent, the most in nearly five months, to Rs 72.50.

Titagarh won a contract to manufacture and supply 5,058 wagons to Indian Railways for Rs 1,560 crore, according to its exchange filing.

The wagons will be designed to carry coal, steel and stones. One -third quantity is to be supplied in next six months and the remaining orders to be supplied by February 2020, as stated in the contract.

Shares of the Mumbai-based of retail chain operator fell 1.34 percent to Rs 1,490 after UBS initiated sell for target price of Rs 950.

UBS in a note said:

  • Revenue growth could disappoint; margins likely to be flattish
  • Believe the stock could react negatively to any result disappointments
  • Premiumisation in modern retail could impact discount retailers

Shares of banking and financial services companies were among the worst hit after Urjit Patel resigned from governorship of the Reserve Bank of India.

IndusInd bank, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Axis Bank were among the top losers from the banking space.

  • Nifty Bank Index declined 1.9 percent
  • Nifty Private Bank Index fell 2 percent
  • Nifty Financial Services Index dropped 2 percent

Government knows it is under pressure and more stimulus should be expected going ahead, Ajay Srivastava, MD, Dimensions Corporate Finance Services told BloombergQuint adding that 30 percent of the portfolio should be cash at current juncture.

Key highlights of the conversation:

  • 30 percent of the portfolio should be cash; will find more opportunities going ahead
  • Look at aligning the portfolio to large banks, healthcare; should move on from midcaps
  • Not the best time to increase allocation considering the uncertainty
  • Commodity stocks are currently cheap; such opportunities come once in a while
  • Inflation is not a very big worry at this point of time
  • Expect more fiscal stimulus to get demand going
  • Expect a more flexible person to head the Reserve Bank going ahead

Abrupt resignation of the central bank governor is not good for markets and it will now depend on the decisions that the government takes to bring down the risk premium, Jahangir Aziz, head of emerging markets economic research told BloombergQuint.

Key highlights of the conversation:

  • Not concerned over government's demand over additional capital
  • Question is for what purpose does the government want to use the excess capital
  • Government cannot fund current expenditure with RBI's excess capital
  • Concerned over providing separate windows to SME, NBFCs
  • Previous monetary policy provides a significant support in terms of liquidity
  • Question is over RBI's independence on and outside monetary policy

Reserve Bank of India is one of the most respected institutions of India and its reputation is looking shaky due to uncertainty, Arvind Sanger, managing partner at Geosphere Capital Management told BloombergQuint.

Key highlights of the conversation:

  • Resignation of the RBI governor is event negative
  • Markets likely to sell-off, people will stay on the sidelines till people get more clarity
  • RBI is one of the most respected institution in India
  • Reputation of the RBI currently looking shaky due to uncertainty
  • India cannot afford to treat the viewpoint of foreign investors as inconsequential
  • India has scored a 'self-goal' amidst improving global backdrop
  • We are in a global risk-off market
  • Investors not looking to take risk on countries where uncertainties are growing
  • Uncertainties in India making it less attractive for investors

RBI governor Urjit Patel's resignation signals that agreement with government is allegiance with government and deference of opinion is its defiance, Shankkar Aiyar, political economy analyst & author told BloombergQuint in interview.

Key highlights of the conversation:

  • RBI governor Urjit Patel's resignation signals that agreement with government is allegiance with government and deference of opinion is its defiance
  • Needs to be factored in that Patel is the fourth internationally known economists who has quit
  • Urjit Patel resisted government's diktats on power companies’ loans, easing norms for banks under PCA to lend
  • If new governor accepts government's diktats it will be intriguing to see how Governor Acharya and Governor Vishwanathan react

Urjit Patel's resignation is a reaction of what transpired over the last two months between the Reserve Bank of India and government of India, former RBI Governor D Subbarao told BloombergQuint in an interview.

Key highlights of the conversation:

  • Don’t believe that Governor Urjit Patel resigned for “personal reasons”
  • First reaction is that I am surprised, but also not surprised
  • Surprised because got impression that RBI, government had resolved differences
  • Not surprised because Patel’s resignation was in realm of speculation
  • Government pushing its positions resulted in Patel’s resignation
  • The government has the right and responsibility to let views be known to RBI
  • Government must respect the right ways to let their views be known
  • I would see this as a morale booster for the RBI
  • Patel’s resignation sends a strong message
  • Government should respect the independence of the RBI
  • Message has gone to government that there are limits to which it can push the RBI

Citi on Container Corp

  • Maintained ‘Buy’ with a price target of Rs 806.
  • Indian railway container volume growth slows.
  • Longer-term prospects remain intact.
  • Capex/capacity expansion plans remain on track.

UBS on Avenue Supermarts

  • Initiated ‘Sell’ with a price target of Rs 950.
  • Revenue growth could disappoint; margins likely to be flattish.
  • Believe the stock could react negatively to any result disappointments.
  • Premiumisation in modern retail could impact discount retailers.

Brokerages On RBI Governor Resignation

Macquarie

  • Event will lead to lot of speculation on reasons for this move
  • Market reaction will be swift regarding both Governor resignation and elections results
  • Fiscal/monetary policy outcomes now get intertwined
  • Will wait for the government to react before altering our view

UBS

  • Any risk to central bank's credibility is negative for Indian assets
  • Bond yields may gap higher by 10-15 basis points.
  • Recommended being long 10y IGBs vs. Indian equities as top trade for the emerging markets in 2019.

Nomura

  • Sudden resignation will lead to questions whether government is trying to stifle institutions.
  • Lack of policy coordination between RBI and government, will mean higher India risk premium.

  • Nifty December futures closed trading at 10,515, at a premium of 27 points.
  • Max open interest for December series at 11,000 Call (open interest at 47.6 lakh shares).
  • Max open interest for December series at 10,000 Put (open interest at 45.4 lakh shares).

  • Capital Trust price band revised to 5 percent
  • Navkar Corporation, Electrosteel Steels to move into ASM Framework

Insider Trading
  • Aster DM Healthcare promoter Azad Moopen acquired 1.47 lakh shares from Nov. 30-Dec. 7.
  • Dabur India promoter Ratna Commercial Enterprises acquired 70,000 shares on Dec. 6.
  • Nava Bharat Ventures promoter group acquired 30,000 shares from Dec. 6-7.
  • Mangalore Chemicals and Fertilizers promoter McDowell Holdings sold 45,000 shares on Dec. 5.
  • Quess Corp promoter Ajit Isaac acquired 48,000 shares on Dec. 7.

Who’s Meeting Whom
  • TCI Express to meet Motilal MF, Invesco MF and other investors from Dec. 11-12
  • Cipla to meet JP Morgan, Centrum Broking and other investors from Dec. 17-24

  • Titagarh Wagons has been awarded a contract to manufacture and supply 5,058 wagons to Indian Railways for Rs 1,560 crore. The wagons will be designed to carry coal, steel and stones. One -third quantity, comprising of 1,686 wagons is to be supplied in next six months and the remaining orders to be supplied by February 2020, as stated in the contract.
  • Lupin received tentative U.S. FDA approval for Apibaxan Tablets, which is used for reducing risk of stroke and deep vein thromobosis.
  • Zensar Technologies selected as IT infrastructure partner by European Bank for reconstruction and development.
  • GMR Infrastructure arm raised Rs 225.6 crore through compulsory convertible debentures for investment in its 180MW hydro-project in Himachal Pradesh.
  • Cox & Kings’ arm’s Education division received requisite approvals from respective authorities including the anti-trust approval for its sale to U.K. based Midlothian Capital Partners for 467 million pounds. The arm is now awaiting final approval from the travel regulator, Civil Aviation Authority. The company expects the transaction to conclude in 2018 itself.
  • KDDL to acquire Swiss Watch Hands manufacturing Company named “Estima AG” for CHF 4,00,000 current turnover of Estima AG is CHF 1.8-2 million. The cut-off date for acquisition by new management is Jan. 07
  • SBI To consider raising up to $1.25 billion in Dec. 12 meeting.
  • ICICI Bank approved proposal for raising funds via bond sale.

Stocks

  • The MSCI Asia Pacific fell 0.6 percent as of 10:00 a.m. in Tokyo.
  • Japan’s Topix index fell 1 percent.
  • Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index was little changed after reaching a two-year low.
  • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index contracts fell 0.8 percent overnight.
  • S&P 500 futures fell 0.4 percent. The S&P 500 Index rose 0.2 percent at the close of trading in New York Monday.

Currencies

  • The Japanese yen rose 0.2 percent to 113.10 per dollar after decreasing 0.6 percent.
  • The offshore yuan traded at 6.9190 per dollar after dropping 0.4 percent.
  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was stable after increasing 0.5 percent.
  • The euro was steady at $1.1354.
  • The British pound was at $1.2553, near the weakest in almost 20 months, after sinking 1.3 percent.

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate was steady at $51.01 a barrel. It slid 3.1 percent Monday.
  • Gold traded little changed at $1,244.22 an ounce.

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