Davos 2023: Premature To Think India Will Replace China In Influencing Global Economic Growth, Says Rajan
However, the situation may change going forward as India is already the world's fifth largest economy, he added.
Former Reserve Bank Of India Governor Raghuram Rajan, on Tuesday, said it is too premature to think that India will replace China when it comes to influencing global economic growth.
However, the situation may change going forward as India is already the world's fifth largest economy. It is growing and has the potential to keep expanding, he added.
At a press briefing held at World Economic Forum in Davos on the recently released Chief Economists Outlook, that saw majority expecting a global recession in 2023, Rajan pointed out any recovery in the Chinese economy would definitely boost the global growth prospects.
He said policymakers at this point of time are looking at the labour market and also at the housing market. The housing sales are not taking place in the U.S., and the prices are not falling.
"Is it all gloom and doom? Not probably...If Mr Putin decides to end the war, there would be certainly an upside," Rajan noted.
He added that there are still 12 months to go and if China improves, that could be good. "China is working its way through pandemic and there would be a Chinese recovery this year, probably as early as March or April. Some of that would be in domestic services which may not have any impact outside. But any improvement in manufacturing may have some impact by way of softening prices outside," he said.
When asked about India, Rajan said, "the argument that India will replace China is very premature as India is much smaller economy as of now." "But over a period of time, that may change as India is already the fifth largest economy and it can keep growing," he added.