Traders watch the Union budget speech at a dealing room in Motilal Oswal in Mumbai. (Photo credit: BloombergQuint)
5 years ago
Jun 09, 2021
Petronet LNG, Max Financial, Prestige Estates, Engineers India may react as the companies reported quarterly results after the market closed Tuesday. GAIL India, Bata, TeamLease Services are among the companies scheduled to report earnings Wednesday. Foreign investors bought net 1.61b rupees of stocks on June 7, according to NSDL website.
While domestic equites continue to look good, investors must focus on quality stocks with robust earnings visibility and margins of safety. In our view, sectors considered to be major beneficiaries of capex revival are likely to be back in focus in coming weeks.
“Investors remain in a wait-and-watch mode ahead of crucial U.S. inflation data tomorrow, with domestic equities looking muted as of now” said Binod Modi, a strategist at Reliance Securities Ltd. “The beginning of gradual withdrawal of restrictions by states indicates that economic indicators should start improving from this month,”
India’s sovereign bond traders are awaiting the sale of Rs 36,000 crore of Treasury bills to gauge the direction of short-term rates after yields eased Tuesday.
10-year yields fell 2bps to 6.01% on Tuesday
India’s 10-year government bond yields have been largely rangebound since mid-April, as investors count on the government’s cash balances and central bank’s active presence to manage FY22 borrowings, according to note from DBS
This was reinforced by the increase in size of the RBI’s GSAP bond purchase program in Q3 to Rs 1.2 lakh crore, besides regular market operations and Operation Twists
For FY22, revenues in Q2FY21 may take a hit due to the second Covid wave, but look up from Q3. FY22 expenditure faces an upside risk of ~0.4-0.5% of GDP, posing risks to the budgeted deficit of -6.8% of GDP
However, the final math might find some wiggle room from nominal GDP buoyancy (higher deflators) and a likely reprioritization in spending to minimize the risk of a deficit slippage