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This Article is From Jan 19, 2021

Mindtree Stock Climbs Near Record High As Analysts Upgrade Targets Post Q3

Mindtree Stock Climbs Near Record High As Analysts  Upgrade Targets Post Q3
A view of the Mindtree campus in Bengaluru. (Source: PTI)

Shares of Mindtree Ltd. are trading near their record high as analysts raised price targets after the mid-sized software services provider beat estimates in the quarter ended December.

The company's dollar revenue rose 5% over the previous quarter to $274.1 million in the October-December period, according to an exchange filing. Revenue in rupee terms, too, increased by a similar quantum to Rs 2,023 crore—higher than the consensus forecast of Rs 1,994.7 crore.

Net profit rose 29% sequentially to Rs 326.5 crore. Analysts had pegged the bottom line at Rs 269.1 crore. While earnings before interest and tax rose 19% over the preceding three months to Rs 395.5 crore, margin expanded 230 basis points to 19.6%.

The company won deals worth $312 million during the reported quarter, taking its total deal wins in the nine months of FY21 past $1 billion.

Analysts were positively surprised by the company's margin performance, and raised earnings estimates for at least the next two financial years, citing revenue acceleration, higher off-shoring and better utilisation.

Shares of Mindtree gained as much as 5.4% to Rs 1,753.9 apiece in early trade on Tuesday. Of the 36 analysts tracking the stock, 17 have a ‘buy' rating, eight suggest a ‘hold' and 11 recommend a ‘sell'. The stock trades 8.1% higher than its Bloomberg consensus 12-month price target of Rs 1,611.3 apiece.

Here's what the analysts have to say...

Morgan Stanley

  • Maintains ‘equal-weight' rating; raises price target to Rs 1,645 apiece from Rs 1,440.
  • Margins significantly better is a trend similar to the last few quarters.
  • Margin benefits can be used to drive growth.
  • Management expects broad-based growth momentum to continue, even as full recovery in travel can be some quarters away.
  • Possibility of positive surprise on margins going forward.
  • Raises FY21-23 EPS estimates by up to 12% owing to margin improvement.

Emkay

  • Maintains ‘sell' rating but hikes price target to Rs 1,580 apiece from Rs 1,490.
  • Broad-based revenue growth, sharp margin expansion, healthy deal intake some key positives.
  • Continued softness in BFSI disappointing.
  • Management said it has sufficient levers to absorb salary hikes.
  • Raises FY21, FY22 and FY23 EPS estimates by 17.6%, 15.1% and 6.2%, respectively, to factor better margin trajectory and improving demand outlook.
  • Remains sellers due to dependency on top client, anticipated sub-par revenue growth, unsustainable margins and rich valuations.

Motilal Oswal

  • Maintains ‘neutral' rating; raises price target to Rs 1,765 apiece from Rs 1,610.
  • Can continue to benefit from strong demand environment, given the high exposure to cloud.
  • Raises FY22 Ebitda margin expectation to 21.1% despite near-term drag due to wage hikes and gradual resumption of travel.
  • Raises FY22 and FY23 EPS estimates by 10% and 11%, respectively, to factor in the margin expansion.
  • Risk-adjusted valuation remains unattractive.
  • Sees limited upside as most positives as already captured.

Prabhudas Lilladher

  • Maintains ‘buy' rating; raises price target to Rs 1,940 apiece from Rs 1,792.
  • Highlight of the quarter was the sequential beat on margin performance.
  • Raises revenue growth estimates by an average 1.7% for FY22 and FY23.
  • Upgrades FY22 and FY23 EPS estimates by 4.6% and 8.3%, respectively,
  • Expects massive upgrade in EPS from consensus.

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