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Sensex, Nifty End Lower On Karnataka Cliffhanger 

Sensex, Nifty End Lower On Karnataka Cliffhanger 
Employees work at their desks in a brokerage firm in Mumbai. (Photographer: Prashanth Vishwanathan/Bloomberg)
8 years ago
Market participants will watch out for the outcome of the Karnataka assembly elections. At least four of five exit poll surveys showed the Bharatiya Janata Party in pole position but short of a full majority of 113 seats.

Shares of the Delhi-based government-owned lender fell as much as 4 percent to Rs 85.70 after it reported wider than estimated loss and its asset quality detriorated in March quarter.

Key earnings highlights:

  • Net loss at Rs 13,420 crore versus Bloomberg estimate of Rs 3,840 crore
  • Net loss at Rs 13,420 crore versus profit of Rs 262 crore (YoY)
  • Net interest income fell 17 percent to Rs 3,063.39 crore versus Rs 3,683.52 crore (YoY)
  • Gross non-performing assets at 18.38 percent versus 12.11 percent (QoQ)
  • Net NPAs at 11.24 percent versus 7.55 percent (QoQ)
  • Provisions for bad loans at Rs 16,203 crore versus Rs 2,996.42 crore (QoQ)

Shares of Mangalore-based private lender fell marginally by 3.8 percent to Rs 108.60 after the bank reported a profit of Rs 11 crore for the March quarter compared to a profit of Rs 138.37 crore in the same quarter last year.

Gross bad loans for the bank increased to 4.92 percent while net bad loans stood at 2.96 percent for the March quarter.

Shares of the Mumbai-based drugmaker rose 1.21 percent to Rs 763 after it met estimates in March quarter.

Key Earnings Highlights [Consolidated, YoY]

  • Net loss at Rs 783.5 crore versus estimate of Rs 338 crore. Reported a profit of Rs 380.2 crore same period last year
  • Revenue down 5.2 percent at Rs 4,033.8 crore, estimate Rs 3,945 crore
  • Ebitda down 9.3 percent at Rs 708.7 crore, estimate Rs 735 crore
  • Margin at 17.6 percent versus estimate 18.6 percent
  • One-time loss for impairment of assets at Rs 1,460 crore

Region Wise Revenue Break Up

  • U.S: -21 percent
  • India: +13 percent
  • APAC: +8 percent
  • EMEA: +17 percent
  • LATAM: +30 percent

  • DCB Bank has 20 lakh shares change hands in two blocks. Stock up 0.55 percent at Rs 190.50.
  • Buyers and sellers were not immediately known

    Source: Bloomberg

  • Dr Lal PathLabs: The Gurugram-based clinical lab operator rose 9 percent to Rs 880. Trading volume was 41.5 times its 20-day average.
  • BF Utilities: The Pune-based infrastructure construction company rose 4.85 percent to Rs 411.50. Trading volume was 13.3 times its 20-day average.
  • BEML: The Bengaluru-based construction and mining machinery maker rose 5 percent to Rs 1,106. Trading volume was 12.6 times its 20-day average.
  • Sanofi India: The Mumbai-based drugmaker rose 0.17 percent to Rs4m891. Trading volume was 9.9 times its 20-day average.

Shares of the Mumbai-based steel maker rose as much as 4.33 percent to Rs 636.80 after the National Company Law Tribunal approved Tata Steel's bid for debt-ridden Bhushan Steel. The tribunal also dismissed a plea filed by the employees of Bhushan Steel opposing Tata Steel's bid and imposed a fine of Rs 1 lakh.

The bench comprising NCLT President Justice M M Kumar and S K Mohapatra also dismissed the plea of engineering and construction major L&T seeking higher priority in recovery of loan and imposed a fine of Rs 1 lakh.

An emphatic win might lead the NDA to throttle back on the farmer-focused pre-election populism that has become the norm in our country over the past decade. That in turn might provide some relief to bond yields which have been rising steadily over the past 8 months. Whilst a BJP win should lend support to equity supports, at these valuations, the direction of the equity market is more likely to be driven by the incipient earnings recovery than by election results.
Saurabh Mukherjea, Ambit Capital

Shares of the Mumbai-based government-owned bank fell as much as 4.11 percent to Rs 60.70.

Two independent directors — Ninad Karpe and S Ravi resigned from the board of the bank days after CBI filed FIR in connection with Rs 600 crore loan given by the bank to former Aircel promoter C Sivasankaran, his son and companies controlled by him.

Karnataka elections is just a trigger, the Nifty had already bottomed at 9,950 and uptrend was in place. 11,400 was always on cards for the Nifty, it’s just a question of when.
Jai Bala, chief market technician, cashthechaos.com

Shares of the Secunderabad-based hybrid seeds producer rose as much as 2.5 percent to Rs 518.

The company's board will meet on May 24 to consider a proposal to buyback equity shares of the company, Kaveri Seeds said in an exchange notification.

With 24 states under its fold, BJP now has a clear advantage of implementing common / uniform economic policies as a nation. It is clearly a big push to India’s economic development when the state and the centre are ruled by people with common agenda, common thought process and policies.

Swarup Mohanty, Mirae Asset Global Investments

  • Verdict has now paved the way for the government to continue in its path of governance
  • It would augur well for the country’s growth prospects in the future

Nilesh Shah, Kotak Mahindra AMC

  • Markets to use Karnataka outcome to forecast 2019 polls
  • Markets want stable, reform-oriented government
  • Earnings momentum to drive markets going ahead

Porinju Veliyath, Equity Intelligence India

  • BJP win to boost market sentiment
  • Modi win in 2019 important follow-up for economic reforms

Sudip Bandyopadhyay, Group Chairman, Inditrade Capital

  • BJP win positive in short-medium term
  • State elections don't matter in long-term
  • Single party victory positive for investor sentiment

Ajay Bagga, Market Expert

  • Can see profit booking towards end of the day
  • Expectations were low. Simple majority welcomed strongly
  • Would wait and watch for other factors like yields, global cues

Ritesh Jain, BNP Paribas Asset Management

  • Need to run a tighter fiscal policy
  • Need to ensure lower volatility, stable macros for investors

Shares of the Delhi-based steel maker rebounded after falling as much as 4 percent to Rs 13.2.

The Competition Commission of India has approved Monnet Ispat and Energy’s stake purchase by Aion Investment-JSW group. Aion Investment will be the lead partner in the group. Their plan proposes to pay Rs 2,677 crore cash to the lenders up-front.

Shares of the hospital chain operator rose as much as 4.2 percent, the most in two weeks, to Rs 155.

TPG Capital-backed Manipal Healthcare Enterprises Pvt Ltd. revised its bid for Fortis Healthcare Ltd. for the third time even as the board of India’s second-largest hospital chain has backed a joint bid from the Munjal and Burman families. (Get the details of the new bid here)

Shares of the Kolkata-based public-sector lender fell 3.39 percent to Rs 42.70 after the Reserve Bank of India imposed further restrictions on the operations of Allahabad Bank under its Prompt Corrective Action framework, the lender disclosed in a notification to stock exchanges.

According to the notification, the bank has been directed to:

  • Restrict expansion of risk weighted assets
  • Reduce exposure to un-rated and high-risk advances
  • Restrict creation of non-banking assets
  • To restrict accessing /renewing wholesale/costly deposits/certificate of deposits

Allahabad Bank has been under the RBI’s PCA framework since January 2018. The fresh restrictions placed by RBI on the bank represent a second round of corrective measures.

Additions

  • Avenue Supermarts up 4.62 percent
  • InterGlobe Aviation up 2.64 percent
  • Pidilite Industries up 0.94 percent
  • Power Grid up 2.13 percent

Deletions

  • ACC down 1.25 percent
  • IDFC Bank down 0.95 percent
  • Power Finance Corp down 2.64 percent
  • Tata Motors DVR down 3.25 percent
  • Vakrangee down down 5 percent

Shares of the Gurugram-based pathology lab operator rose as much as 11.50 percent to Rs 899.90 after it reported March quarter earnings.

Key earnings highlights:

  • Revenue up 21 percent at Rs 267 crore
  • Net profit up 25 percent at Rs 40 crore
  • Ebitda up 28 percent at Rs 64 crore
  • Margin at 24 percent versus 22.7 percent

Meanwhile, CLSA has maintained buy on the stock for target price of Rs 1,320.

CLSA in a note said:

  • Kolkata lab operationalisation to keep volume growth healthy
  • Competitive scenario stabilising but management expects consolidation
  • Dr Lal's second half performance has been strong after some weakness in first half

BEML, KIOCL and BF Utilities surged as early trends from elections in Karnataka showed Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party leading over the main opposition.

BEML rose as much as 9.6 percent, most since March 5. There are expectations that BEML’s stake sale by the government may get quicker approval and BF Utilities may get new projects if BJP wins in Karnataka, says Soumen Chatterjee, head of research at Guiness Securities.

Shares of Karnataka-based iron ore miner KIOCL gained as much as 15 percent.

Shares of the Mumbai-based textile maker rose as much as 4.33 percent to Rs 301.50 after it turned profitable in March quarter.

Key earnings highlights:

  • Revenue up 44 percent at Rs 758 crore
  • Net profit at Rs 11 crore versus net loss of Rs 62.5 crore
  • Ebitda at Rs 229.5 crore versus Rs 109.5 crore
  • Margin at 30.3 percent versus 20.8 percent

Shares of the Mumbai-based FMCG company rose as much as 2.64 percent to record high of Rs 1,543 after it reported 11 percent volume growth in March quarter.

Hindustan Unilever Ltd.’s profit surpassed analyst estimates in the quarter ended March on the back of double-digit growth in sales volume.

Net profit of India's largest fast-moving consumer goods manufacturer rose 14.2 percent to Rs 1,351 crore compared to the year-ago period, according to the company’s exchange filing. That’s higher than the Rs 1,333 crore estimated by analysts tracked by Bloomberg and despite an exceptional loss of Rs 64 crore during the quarter.

Indian equity benchmarks were trading on a subdued note as early results indicated a close fight for BJP and Congress in Karnataka.

The S&P BSE Sensex was little changed at 35,568 while the NSE Nifty 50 index slipped 0.16 percent or 16 points to 10,789.

Catch the live result updates here

Karnataka Election Live: Early Trends Indicate A Close Fight

Who’s Meeting Whom

  • DCM Shriram to meet Laburnum Capital on May 15
  • MCX to meet ULJK Financial Services on May 15

Insider Trades

  • Waterbase promoter Karam Chand Thapar & Bros. (Coal Sales) Ltd acquired 25,032 shares on May 10
  • Bodal chemicals promoter Ankit S Patel acquired 3.14 lakh shares on May 11
  • Kwality Ltd promoter Sanjay Dhingra acquired 5.96 lakh shares on May 11

Brokerages On HUL

CLSA

  • Maintain Outperform, raise target price to Rs 1,650 from Rs 1,575
  • Hindustan Unilever's 11 percent volume growth is best in class
  • Management commentary is fairly positive, with a decisive pick-up in rural growth
  • Rural has improved but need to wait a few more quarters to establish the trend

Credit Suisse

  • Maintain Outperform, raise target price to Rs 1,675 from Rs 1,530
  • Strong pick-up in volume growth trend while margins expand despite jump in ad spend
  • Volume growth at 11 percent marks a significant acceleration in trend on base of 4 percent
  • Management still looks to expand operating margins in FY19 despite crude driven inflation

Morgan Stanley

  • Maintain Underweight, raise target price to Rs 1,260 from Rs 1,120,
  • Q4 suggests worst in terms of volume growth for the industry may be over
  • Estimate around 9 percent volume growth in FY19
  • HUL stocks trades at 30 percent premium to last 12-year average price to earnings ratio

CLSA On Dr Lal Pathlabs

  • Maintain Buy, target price at Rs 1,320
  • Kolkata lab operationalisation to keep volume growth healthy
  • Competitive scenario stabilising but management expects consolidation
  • Dr Lal's second half performance has been strong after some weakness in first half

Nifty Earnings To Watch
  • Lupin

Other Earnings To Watch

  • Britannia Industries
  • Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals
  • Dhanlaxmi Bank
  • Endurance Technologies
  • Karnataka Bank
  • MRPL
  • Punjab National Bank
  • PI Industries
  • Reliance Communications
  • Snowman Logistics
  • Syndicate Bank

Bulk Deals

Mphasis

  • First State Asian Equity Plus Fund bought 24.39 lakh shares (1.3 percent) at Rs 960 each
  • Nomura Funds Ireland plc. India Equity Fund bought 11.20 lakh shares (0.6 percent) at Rs 961.1 each
  • Oppenheimer International Small Company Fund bought 28.11 lakh shares (1.5 percent) at Rs 960 each
  • Nomura India Stock Mother Fund bought 15.20 lakh shares (0.8 percent) at Rs 961.1 each
  • Promoter Marble II Pte Ltd sold 1.54crore shares (8 percent) at Rs 960.09 each

MSCI Global Standard Index Changes:

Additions

  • Avenue Supermarts
  • InterGlobe Aviation
  • Pidilite Industries
  • Power Grid

Deletions

  • ACC
  • IDFC Bank
  • Power Finance Corp
  • Tata Motors DVR
  • Vakrangee

MSCI Small Cap India Index Changes:

Additions

  • First Source
  • Graphite India
  • IFB Industries
  • JSW Energy
  • Manpasand
  • V-Mart
  • Venky’s

Deletions

  • Advanced Enzymes
  • Biocon
  • Divi’s Labs
  • Marksans
  • Navkar
  • Siti Networks

Changes effective from close of May 31

Morgan Stanley Splits With Nomura Over Emerging-Market Outlook

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