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This Article is From Jul 17, 2019

EM Succumbs to Sub-Zero Epidemic as Debt Pile Doubles in a Week

(Bloomberg) -- A sinkhole of negative-yielding debt in emerging markets has doubled in size over the past week. This time last year it was non-existent.

The amount outstanding soared to $246 billion, driven mostly by the growing pile of corporate debt with sub-zero rates, which almost tripled in seven days, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The Black Hole Engulfing the World's Bond Markets: QuickTake

Corporate heavyweights such as Petroleo Brasileiro SA and Energa SA, and sovereigns including Poland and Hungary have seen rates drop below zero as the dovish turn at the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank fueled the clamor for yield. Emerging-market bonds handed investors 3.5% over the past two months, more than a percentage point above returns on U.S. Treasuries, according to Bloomberg Barclays indexes.

  • The amount of negative-yielding corporate bonds almost tripled to $109 billion from a week ago
  • Sovereign bonds with sub-zero rates climbed about 50% to $136 billion
Getting the Data:
Run a search on SRCH  and filter the data to include bond yields below 0% and emerging markets as the security type. Be sure to exclude developed nations from the search by using the country of risk criterion. The results will include bonds ranging from convertible securities to plain vanilla notes.

“This is a global phenomenon, not an EM phenomenon,” said Warren Hyland, who manages emerging-market debt at Muzinich & Co. in London. “Ultimately if less and less of bonds generate a positive yield, that means more and more people are looking for a positive-yielding bond and EM has more of that than elsewhere.”

Developing-nation debt attracted inflows for a fifth straight week through July 10, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch, which cited EPFR Global data.

Read More: 

To contact the reporter on this story: Selcuk Gokoluk in London at sgokoluk@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Dana El Baltaji at delbaltaji@bloomberg.net, Robert Brand

©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

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