Maharashtra Exit Poll 2024 Results: Chanakya Updates Projections, Strong Showing For Mahayuti

Chanakya Strategies has revised its projections for the Maharashtra Assembly Election in 2024, offering an improved outlook for the for the BJP-Shiv Sena (Shinde faction)-NCP (Ajit Pawar faction) alliance. The updated forecast predicts a strong performance, with the BJP likely to secure 175 seats, with a margin of 11 seats on either side.

For the Congress, Chanakya anticipates a tally of 100 seats, also with a margin of 11 seats on either side. Meanwhile, other parties are projected to win 13 seats, with a possible variation of 5 seats on either side, according to the survey.

On Wednesday, the pollster projected a majority for the Bhartiya Janata Party-led Mahayuti alliance in the Maharashtra Assembly elections with 152-160 seats. This indicates a strong mandate for a second term for the BJP-Shiv Sena (Eknath Shinde) and NCP (Ajit Pawar)'s Mahayuti alliance, according to an exit poll survey by Chanakya Strategies.

The MVA, which includes the Indian National Congress, Shiv Sena (Uddhav Thackrey), and NCP (Sharad Pawar faction), is projected to secure 130-138 seats. Meanwhile, other parties are expected to win six to eight seats, Chanakya's survey said.

The BJP is contesting the highest number of seats (149) among all the parties, while Chief Minister Eknath Shinde's Shiv Sena is contesting 81 seats, and Deputy CM Ajit Pawar's Nationalist Congress Party will contest 53 seats.

In the MVA, the Indian National Congress has nominated candidates for 101 seats, followed by the Uddhav Thackeray-led Shiv Sena (UBT) with 95 seats and Sharad Pawar’s NCP (SP) with 86.

Maharashtra has 288 assembly constituencies and is divided into five subdivisions: Konkan (home to Mumbai and Thane metros), Western Maharashtra, Marathwada, Vidarbha, and Northern Maharashtra, also called Khandesh.

Maharashtra witnessed a record voter turnout in the state Assembly elections on Nov. 20, with the overall voting percentage reaching 65.02%, the highest in the last 30 years since the 1995 polls.

The Mumbai City recorded the lowest voter turnout at 52.07% in its 10 Assembly Constituencies.

Despite muted participation from urban voters, Maharashtra Assembly elections saw more voter turnout than the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, where the voting percentage stood at 61.39%.

(Disclaimer: Exit poll data may not always be accurate.)