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This Article is From May 19, 2025

Rupee Defies Monday Blues, Opens Stronger Against US Dollar

Rupee Defies Monday Blues, Opens Stronger Against US Dollar
Rupee gained on Monday. (Photo source: NDTV Profit)

The Indian Rupee opened 12 paise stronger at 85.44 against the US Dollar on Monday, compared to its closing rate of 85.52 a dollar on Friday. This movement comes amid a backdrop of global economic developments and market reactions.

Anil Kumar Bhansali, head of treasury and executive director at Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP, suggested that exporters could hedge at 85.70-75, while importers might wait to hedge near 84.25-50.

Brent oil prices ticked lower due to oversupply concerns and ongoing US-Iran nuclear deal talks. Additionally, Moody's downgrade of the US investment grade rating has added to market caution, Bhansali noted.

Despite a 1% gain in oil contracts last week, driven by the US-China agreement to temporarily lower tariffs, oversupply concerns have offset these gains, with Brent crude starting the week at $65.18 per barrel, he added.

"Moody's downgraded US by a notch changing the rating from top-tier rating AAA to AA. The agency sighted concerns over the country's ballooning $36 trillion debt that could worsen under President Trump's tax cuts," Bhansali said.

The dollar index was slightly lower at 100.84, while the US 10-year yield rose to 4.4910%. The Euro was at 1.1178, the British pound was at 1.3297, while the Japanese yen remained unchanged at 145.21.

The Nikkei fell by 0.44%, Hang Seng was down by 0.67%, and China declined 0.40%. Gift Nifty indicated a downside of 71 points at pre-open. Gold was up by $22 per ounce at $3,224.81.

Bhansali expects the rupee to trade within a wide band of 85-86 and a slightly narrower band of 85.25-75 for the day, with intraday selling near 85.70-75 and buying near 85.25.

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