Harvard Global Health Institute Director Dr. Ashish Jha has expressed concern over the pace at which new coronavirus cases are rising in India
Jha said when populous states like Bihar and Uttar Pradesh get hit hard, the country could see a "large increase" in virus infections and deaths.
"Right now I'm concerned by how quickly the number of new cases are rising. India's density may be contributing to this and we've seen high rates of spread in some of the larger metro areas like Mumbai, Delhi and also Chennai," Jha told PTI.
"But what concerns me most is major population areas - such as in Bihar and UP - that have not yet gotten hit very hard. When they do get hit we will likely see a large increase in the numbers of cases and deaths, which we need to prepare for, he said.
The renowned health expert noted that the number of cases in India may be higher than what the data suggests because while testing has been improving, it has not been rolled out in a way that will capture all low-symptomatic patients.
Jha said since several factors come into play, it is hard to predict how Covid-19 will pan out across India. He referred to the Youyang Gu Covid-19 model, which forecasts infections and deaths from the virus around the world, for an estimate of a probable Covid-19 death toll in India.
According to that model, there could be 1,36,056 projected total deaths and 2,73,33,589 total infected people in India by October.
Source: PTI