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This Article is From Jul 30, 2021

Worst-Performing India Stock May Rebound if History Is Any Guide

STOCKS IN THIS STORY
Goenka Business & Finance Ltd.
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Cosco (India) Ltd.
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Nifty Capital Markets
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MSCI World
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Pritika Auto Industries Ltd
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MSCI AC Asia ex-Japan
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BSE Healthcare
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Ajmera Realty & Infra India Ltd.
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Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd., one of India's largest drug firms, is the nation's worst-performing stock in July on disappointing earnings and a U.S. probe. But one technical indicator suggests the shares could be due a snap back.

The stock's relative strength index has dropped to a level indicating the shares are oversold. When that's happened over the past five years, shares of the Hyderabad-based company have rallied about 15% on average in the 20 subsequent trading sessions, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Dr. Reddy's earnings trailed estimates and the company has disclosed that it's responding to a subpoena from the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission. Jefferies India Pvt. analyst Abhishek Sharma, who rates the stock a buy, said in a note the SEC probe “could be material” if it leads to an adverse finding, but shouldn't affect “our thesis on the company.”

The drug-maker's shares became oversold 12 times over the past five years based on the relative strength index. In 55% of the cases they traded higher over the next 20 days, according to the data compiled by Bloomberg. In the instances where they were lower, the average loss was just over 6%.

©2021 Bloomberg L.P.

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