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Pharma Sector Sees Modest Growth Amid US Headwinds; Sun Pharma, Cipla Among ICICI Securities' Top Picks

Pharma Sector Sees Modest Growth Amid US Headwinds; Sun Pharma, Cipla Among ICICI Securities' Top Picks
Profit growth of Torrent, Divi’s, Lupin, Ajanta, JB Chemicals and Pfizer could outpace peers. (Source: Tima Miroshnichenko/ pexels)
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Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd.
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The brokerage expects the domestic business of our coverage universe to grow at 7.5% YoY in Q2 FY26E. Inventory de-stocking, on account of GST rate on certain medicines from 12% to 5%, may have a temporary impact on the India business.

NDTV Profit's special research section collates quality and in-depth equity and economy research reports from across India's top brokerages, asset managers and research agencies. These reports offer NDTV Profit's subscribers an opportunity to expand their understanding of companies, sectors and the economy.

ICICI Securities Report

We anticipate growth slowing down for pharma companies in Q2 FY26E. Our coverage companies will likely report modest growth of 7.0%/5.1%/5.1% YoY in revenue/Ebitda/PAT.

We expect US business revenue to decline 0.7% YoY, as companies have started facing pricing pressure in gRevlimid. Aggregate India sales of our coverage are expected to grow at a slower pace of 7.5% YoY, at Rs 240 billion, due to a transitory impact of de-stocking on account of the revision in GST rates.

We remain cautious on the near-term outlook for the sector, considering uncertainties surrounding tariffs in US, loss of exclusivity for key products, and National List of Essential Medicine price revision in India in 2026.

Sun Pharma, Cipla, Aurobindo Pharma, Piramal Pharma, Alkem Laboratories, Cohance Lifesciences and OneSource are our top picks in the sector.

Key risks

Tariffs on US shipments, loss of exclusivity in key products, adverse outcome of regulatory inspections and inclusion of more products under NLEM in India.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

ICICI Securities Q2FY26_Pharma_Preview.pdf
VIEW DOCUMENT

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