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Welcome to Friday, Americas. Here's the latest news and analysis from Bloomberg Economics to help you start the day:
- Markets are bracing for U.S. nonfarm payrolls for May, with consensus estimates pointing to a gain of 674,000. Economists, blindsided by a major miss in April's U.S. employment report, are ready for any number of surprises in May's data
- Here's what Bloomberg Economics' Yelena Shulyatyeva expects
- It's also jobs report day in Canada, where Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's aid plan has become a key lifeline for the economy
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is in London for a meeting of finance ministers from the Group of Seven nations
- The main issue on the agenda will be attempts to find common ground toward a global tax deal, with an agreement hoped to be reached at the Group of 20 meeting in July
- U.K. Chancellor Rishi Sunak is pushing for the meeting to adopt his proposal to impose mandatory reporting of environmental risks on big companies
- In the U.S., President Joe Biden pitched to Republicans the idea of a 15% minimum tax on corporations, along with strengthened IRS enforcement efforts.
- The biggest threat to Biden's vision of energizing the U.S. economy with the largest infrastructure program in decades may not be its challenging path through Congress, but a dire shortage of everything from workers to cement mills
- Biden's “intentionally targeted” revamp of Donald Trump's order to ban investments in certain Chinese companies allows him to maintain a tough line on China in a way that still provides room for dialogue between the world's biggest economies
- It sounds like a Mao-era relic of China's planned economy: the Department of Price. But this rarely discussed corner of the Chinese bureaucracy is playing an increasingly important role in the inflation debate whipsawing financial markets
- The ECB will extend its phase of faster bond-buying through the summer to ensure any economic rebound after coronavirus lockdowns is a sustained recovery, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists
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