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Markets: Sensex Ends Nearly 400 Points Lower As Budget Fails To Enthuse Investors; Nifty Closes Near 11,800

Markets: Sensex Ends Nearly 400 Points Lower As Budget Fails To Enthuse Investors; Nifty Closes Near 11,800
A man walks by an electronic ticker board that indicates stock figures at the Bombay Stock Exchange. (Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg)
7 years ago
The stock markets are keeping a close eye on Union Budget 2019 that will be presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman in the Parliament today. In focus will be her budget speech, and what it mentions about tax on equity investments, mutual funds, ELSS, LTCG tax and dividend distribution tax. Here are the live updates on how Sensex and Nifty are reacting to the India Budget 2019.

Budget 2019: Indian Government To Borrow In Foreign Currency

India’s plan to sell sovereign bonds overseas is most welcome as it will open up a new source of funding the budget deficit, says Harihar Krishnamoorthy, treasurer at FirstRand.

Once successfully established with investors, it will play a critical role in reducing the local government borrowing in rupee and alleviate the pressure on local liquidity, leaving more funds in the local market, he told Bloomberg.

Key Budget Numbers
  • Net market borrowing pegged at Rs 4.73 lakh crore.
  • Gross market borrowing at Rs 7.1 lakh crore
  • Food subsidy at Rs 1.84 lakh crore versus Rs 1.71 lakh crore previous year
  • Fertiliser subsidy at Rs 79,996 crore versus Rs 70,086
  • Oil subsidy at 37, 478 crore versus Rs 24,833 crore
  • Dividend/Surplus of RBI, PSU banks pegged at Rs 1.06 lakh crore
  • Defense spending at Rs 3.05 lakh crore versus Rs 2.85 lakh crore
  • Aims to buyback government bonds worth Rs 50,000 crore in FY20

Government pegged an enhanced target of raising Rs 1,05,000 crore for the year 2019-20. The government is also execute consolidation of PSUs in the non-financial space as well, said Sitharaman. "Strategic disinvestment of select central public sector enterprises to remain priority of this government."

Here’s how stocks are reacting:

  • ONGC fell 3.7 percent to Rs 161.
  • NTPC fell over 3 percent to Rs 139.10.
  • Coal India declined as much as 2.4 percent to Rs 245.15.

Shares of the non-banking finance companies rallied after the government plans to

The RBI has limited regulatory authority over the NBFCs. The government plans to strengthen those powers, Sitharaman said.

The key highlights:

  • NBFCs that are fundamentally sound continue getting funding by MFs, banks
  • PSU banks to get limited credit guarantee for investment in high-rated NBFC
  • NBFCs play an important role in sustaining consumption demand
  • Propose to return regulatory authority over housing finance sector to RBI from NHB

India’s finance ministry will likely keep gross borrowings unchanged at a record Rs 7 lakh crore ($103 billion) for the fiscal year that started April 1, people with the knowledge of the proposal told Bloomberg.

The second phase of Pradhan Mantri Aawas Yojana will see construction of 1.95 crore houses by 2020-21, said Sitharaman. “Already over 1.5 crore rural home have been completed under the Housing For All scheme in five years.”

  • Puravankara rose nearly 2.1 percent to Rs 72.95.
  • Shree Cement gained as much as 1.3 percent to hit an all-time high at Rs 21,894.
  • Somany Ceramics rose 1.1 percent to Rs 445.
  • JSW Steel gained 1.3 percent to Rs 278.70.

FM says India's FDI flows in 2018-19 remained strong compared to global markets at $54.2 billion, 6 percent higher than last year. The government will examine options of opening up FDI in media, animation and some other sectors to improve these flows further, she said.

  • Propose to merge NRI portfolio route with FPI route.
  • Propose to raise limit on FPI to be at par with FDI.
  • To examine raising FDI caps in aviation, media, animation and insurance.
  • FDI inflows in India have remained robust despite global headwinds.
  • To allow FPIs to invest in listed securities of Rites, InVITs.
  • Will ask SEBI to raise minimum public holding in listed equities to 35 percent from 25 percent.
  • Government to allow AA-rated bonds to be used as collateral in tri-party repo market.

Catch all the live updates on Union Budget here.

Indian equity benchmarks fluctuated between gains and losses as Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman started off her maiden budget speech acknowledging the decisive mandate given by India’s voters in the recently concluded elections.

The Sensex traded 0.1 percent or 30 points higher at 39,940 as of 11 a.m. while the NSE Nifty 50 traded little changed at 11,945. The broader market represented by the NSE Nifty 500 Index also erased gains and fell 0.1 percent.

The Union Cabinet has approved the Budget 2019. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will begin her budget speech in the Lok Sabha shortly.

Catch all the live updates on Union Budget here.

Shares of the country's largest carmaker erased opening gains to trade little changed at Rs 6,574.50.

The company's production for the month of June fell 15.6 percent to 1.11 lakh units year-on-year, according to its exchange fling. Also, its passenger vehicle segment declined close to 17 percent to 84,066 units, the filing added.

The stock fell 30 percent in the past 12 months compared with a 12 percent gain in the Nifty.

Shares of ITC fell nearly 1 percent intraday to Rs 275.20.

About 20 lakh shares of the company changed hands in a block deal on National Stock Exchange, Bloomberg data showed. Buyers and sellers were not known immediately.

The stock traded at 24 times its estimated earnings per share for the coming year, according to Bloomberg data.

The ongoing rally in the Nifty is expected to continue in today's trade till 12,100, said Shubham Agarwal, chief executive officer of Quantsapp.com. He also pegged the stop-loss at 11,910.

“The volatility is moving down ahead of the budget. This is indicating that the market expects some more upside on the Nifty. The historical volatility underlying of the 50-share gauge is quoting at a 10-month low which means the market sentiment is also neutral to positive,” Agarwal told BloombergQuint in an interaction.

Nifty’s 12,000 call option contract was among the most active Nifty option contracts on National Stock Exchange.

Premium on the weekly contract which is set to expire on July 11 rose 0.8 percent to Rs 80.10. Over 10.54 lakh shares were added to the open interest which stood at over 23.19 lakh shares.

After meeting President Ram Nath Kovind at the Rashtrapati Bhavan, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has arrived at the Parliament to deliver her budget speech at 11:00 am.

Catch all the live updates on Union Budget here.

Indian equity benchmarks continued to hold gains ahead of the Union Budget which will be presented at 11 a.m. by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman.

The S&P BSE Sensex rose 65 points or 0.17 percent higher to 39,974 as of 10:05 a.m. and the NSE Nifty 50 traded around 11,960, up 0.1 percent. The broader market represented by the NSE Nifty 500 Index rose 0.07 percent.

In the currency market, the Indian rupee depreciated as much as 0.28 percent to 68.69 against the U.S. dollar.

Shares of Yes Bank extended declines for the fourth consecutive trading session. The stock fell as much as 4.2 percent to Rs 92.25, their lowest levels since May 2014

The stock is set for its longest losing streak since April 8. The Relative Strength Index was below 30, indicating that the stock may be overbought, according to Bloomberg data.

The Mumbai-based lender traded at 5.5 times its estimated earnings per share for the coming year, according to Bloomberg data. The stock fell 14 percent in the past five days and declined 39 percent in the past 30 days.

Besides, Yes Bank bought a 9.47 percent stake in Eveready Industries after invoking 68.8 lakh pledged shares on July 3.

Shares of the liquor maker slumped 7.8 percent intraday to Rs 455, their lowest since October 2017 after the June quarter results.

Key Earnings Highlights (Q1, YoY)

  • Revenue rose 7.4 percent to Rs 118.6 crore.
  • Net profit declined 26.6 percent to Rs 16.3 crore.
  • Ebitda declined 23.9 percent to Rs 25.8 crore.
  • Margin at 21.8 percent versus 30.7 percent.

Shares of Westlife Development rose as much as 2.9 percent to Rs 315.05.

About three lakh shares or 1.9 percent equity changed hands in a block deal, Bloomberg data showed. Buyers and sellers were not known immediately.

Trading volume was 7,911 times its 20-day average, Bloomberg data showed. The stock traded at 69 times its estimated earnings per share for the coming year.

On Markets:

  • The government's decision could only set sentiments for the the markets to rally.
  • On the budget's effect on economy- it's a "slow burn". Nothing done today can change the growth trajectory overnight. The effect will only be witnessed over next 1.5-5 years.
  • Fixing the NBFC crisis is the only thing which can trigger a short term growth.

On Bank Recap:

  • There is enough liquidity in the system, there is only a crisis of confidence in the business environment.
  • Banks sitting on large cash surpluses are not extending to NBFCs on account of the fear.
  • Recapitisation of state-owned banks alone won't revive their health- also the government needs to fix the governance issues and their incentive structures.
  • Private banks are chugging away market share in the deposit space where public sector banks had dominated for decades.

  • Freightco India, a logistics company, files insolvency petition against Jain Irrigation’s subsidiary Jain Farm Fresh Food.
  • Freightco India is an operational creditor of Jain Farm Fresh Food.
  • Freightco India claims Jain Farm Fresh Food defaulted on Rs 1.04 crore; claims no payment made since November 2018.
  • Jain Irrigation holds close to 82 percent stake in Jain Farm Fresh Food.
  • Source: IBC Petition

Indian equity benchmarks are set for a positive open ahead of the Union Budget presentation by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman.

The S&P BSE Sensex rose 0.15 percent to 39,966.33 during the pre-market trade and the NSE Nifty rose 0.22 percent to 11,973.

In the currency market, the Indian rupee opened lower against the U.S. dollar, extended gains for the tenth consecutive trading session

Catch all the live updates on Union Budget here.

One can take a position on the Nifty with a stop-loss of 11,800 on a conservative basis and hold on to long positions with a target of 12,100. Since it is going to be a risk trade, only ‘brave hearts’ should attempt it.
Hadrien Mendonca, Senior Technical Analyst IIFL

July Futures
  • Nifty futures closed at 11,979.6, premium at 33 points versus 32 points.
  • Nifty futures open interest down 0.4 percent, sheds 68,000 shares in open interest.
  • Bank Nifty futures closed at 31,548.2, premium of 76 points versus 113 points.
  • Bank Nifty futures across series open interest up 7 percent, adds 1.1 lakh shares in open interest.

Options

  • Nifty PCR at 1.48 versus 1.39 (across all series).

Nifty Weekly Expiry 11-July

  • Max open interest on call side at 12,000 (12.6 lakh shares).
  • Max open interest on put side at 11,800 (8.8 lakh shares).
  • Open Interest addition seen in 12,000C (+5.7 lakh shares), 11,000P (+5.5 lakh shares), 11,800P (+4.4 lakh shares).

Nifty Monthly Expiry 25-July

  • Max open interest on call side at 12,000 (16.6 lakh shares).
  • Max open interest on put side at 11,500 (16.6 lakh shares).

Stocks In F&O Ban

In Ban:

  • DHFL
  • Reliance Capital

  • Apcotex Industries record date for share split from Rs 5 to Rs 2.
  • Star Cement, Sasken Technologies, Welspun Corp record date for share buyback.
  • Madras Fertilizers to move into short term ASM Framework.
  • V2 Retail, Vikas EcoTech to move out of short term ASM Framework.

India has a lot of room for higher fiscal deficit and to lower interest rates to spur economic growth.

That’s according to Mark Mobius, co-founder of Mobius Capital Partners, who expects India’s fiscal deficit to rise to as high as 5 percent of its gross domestic product. The deficit, he said, won’t deter foreign investments if the higher slippages are aimed at improving the country’s economic performance.

Read the full story and watch the full interaction here.

Catch all the live updates on Union Budget here.

  • Sobha Q1 results operational update: New sales volume rose 11 percent to 1.06 million square feet, year-on-year. Total sales value increased 8 percent to Rs 611.8 crore. However, the average price realisation fell 8 percent to Rs 7,312 per square feet due to change in sales mix across various projects.
  • Majesco statutory auditors Varma & Varma resigned from post with effect from July 3. MSKA & Associates were appointed as statutory auditors.
  • Yes Bank acquired 9.47 percent Stake In Eveready Industries as the Bank invoked pledge of 68.8 lakh shares on July 3. This was due to the breach of terms of credit facilities sanctioned by the bank to the company’s arm Mcleod Russel.
  • Spencer’s Retail completed the acquisition of 44.58 crore shares of Godrej Industries in Natures Basket. Now, the target company will become wholly owned arm of Spencer Retail.
  • Pfizer received Maharashtra MIDC approval for business transfer to Vidhi for a consideration of Rs 178 crore.
  • L&T Finance Holdings arm received $550 million in an External Commercial Borrowing investment round from World Bank’s arm, BNP Paribas, Citi Bank and DBS Bank.
  • L&T Infotech clarified that the company is not subject to any enquiry by U.S. CIS and the company doesn’t comment on client specific matters which are in line with contractual obligations.
  • Srei Infra Finance board approved consolidating the lending business of the company with its wholly owned arm Srei Equipment Finance into one entity since the focus for last four years has been on growing equipment financing and reducing the infrastructure loan portfolio, as stated in the company’s press release.
  • Bharat Financial Inclusion board filed certified copy of NCLT order to Registrar of Companies on scheme of merger of the company with IndusInd Bank. The bank will issue its 639 equity shares for every 1,000 shares held in Bharat Financial Inclusion.
  • ONGC’s foreign arm ONGC Videsh picked ANZ, Bank of India and Wetspac for refinancing a $500 million loan. (Bloomberg News)
  • KRBL Enforcement Directorate attached under PMLA the land and rice mill company at Sangrur, Punjab worth Rs. 15.32 crores in kickback case of M/s Embraer SA, Brazil. (Twitter)
  • Maruti Suzuki CCI ordered probe on the company after dealer complaint. The probe is on alleged anti-competitive conduct in implementing discount control policy on dealer. (CCI Press Release)
  • GMR Group sold their entire stake of 47.62 percent in GMR Chhattisgarh Energy to Adani Power, according to its media statement. The group also stated that corporate guarantees worth Rs 892 crore furnished the group arms GMR Energy and GMR Power Corporation shall be released,
  • Usha Martin said that they had completed the transfer of the operative iron-ore mine and coal mine under development to Tata Sponge Iron.
  • Hindalco will have to tackle European antitrust objections on its plan to buy aluminum producer Aleris Corporation to expand as a supplier to the car industry. Novelis said the European Commission sent it a statement of objections to the proposed purchase. (Bloomberg News)

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