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Sensex, Nifty Post Worst Day In Nearly Six Months On Rupee Woes

Sensex, Nifty Post Worst Day In Nearly Six Months On Rupee Woes
A trader speaks on a fixed line telephone headset as he looks at financial data on computer screens on the trading floor. (Photographer: Luke MacGregor/Bloomberg)
7 years ago
The Singapore-traded SGX Nifty, an early indicator of NSE Nifty 50 Index's performance in India, fell 0.4 percent to 11,586 as of 7:16 a.m.

The government has asked the central bank to bolster efforts to support the rupee, Asia’s worst-performing currency of the past month, people familiar with the matter said.

Government officials communicated last week with the Reserve Bank of India on the need to intervene more aggressively in the market to support the rupee, the people said, asking not to be identified as the information is not public. They also discussed the need for other measures including deposit schemes for non-resident Indians, the people said.

Source: Bloomberg

Shares of the Delhi-based automation equipment maker were suspended from trading.

The company informed exchanges that it is currently under Corporate Insolvency Resolution Process (CIRP) as per Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code.

Keeping in view the same, Ricoh India Limited is not in a position to honour its obligation to pay 7 percent half yearly interest on Rs 200 Crores Non-Convertible Debentures issued by the company to Ricoh Asia Pacific Pte Limited, the company added in the exchange notification.

  • Edelweiss has 23.5 lakh shares change hands in a block. Stock down 1.7 percent at Rs 257.60.
  • Buyers and sellers were not immediately known

    Source: Bloomberg

The Rupee is the worst performing EM currency today, weakening over a percent against the dollar and printing a session low of 72.50, Abhishek Goenka of India Forex Advisor told BloombergQuint.

  • U.S. President Trump's threat on Friday of imposing tariffs on all of imports from China on short notice has hurt risk assets.
  • Sell off in domestic equities and bonds is weighing on the rupee.
  • Central bank activity has surprisingly been limited considering that rupee has depreciated more compared to its peers.

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  • India needs forex reserves of $436 billion, $36 billion more than what it has now, as a buffer against rising volatility in imports and narrowing interest-rate differential with the U.S.
  • This is forcing the RBI to do less active forex interventions and is building up the case for higher rates.
  • Maintains 10-year yield fair value forecast at 8.4 percent
  • Source: Bloomberg

Do Not Think Pain For Rupee Is Necessarily Over, Says Edelweiss

Despite rupee's near 10 percent depreciation since the beginning of FY19, we do not think that the pain is necessarily over, says Edelweiss.

  • Sharp swing in balance of payments dynamics will act as a natural pressure point.
  • Global forex volatility & increasing domestic vulnerabilities and possibly limited policy support will continue to weigh.
  • USD/INR range revised to 69-74/$ from 68-72/$ earlier for remainder of FY19.

Government official says power PSUs and banks will hold stake in asset reconstruction company under Pariwartan scheme.

  • Asset Reconstruction Company to keep stressed power assets for 4-5 years.
  • Process of registering ARCs has begun.
  • Power PSUs, bankers to be part of ARCs.
  • Pariwartan is for power projects without PPAs.
  • Pariwartan is meant to keep commissioned projects operational.

Source: Government Official

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Shares of the Gurugram-based auto parts maker rose as much as 5 percent, the most in over a month, to Rs 117.60 after its board approved proposal for establishing a new manufacturing unit in Uttar Pradesh for manufacturing products and equipment supplied to railways.

Shares of the Mumbai-based diagnostic lab operator rose as much as 6.7 percent, the most in over a month, to Rs 684 after its board approved share buyback proposal.

The board approved buyback of 8.63 lakh shares at Rs 730 per share aggregating to Rs 66 crore. The buyback size is 14.97 percent of the aggregate paid-up share capital and free reserves.

Shares of the Delhi-based life insurer rose as much as 9.7 percent, the most in over four months, to Rs 519.35.

Axis Bank has been a channel partner of Max Financial Services’ insurance products and brokerages pointed that with Amitabh Chaudhary at helm of Axis Bank, could strengthen Max’s relationship with Axis Bank.

How the partnership of Axis Bank evolves with Max Life will be interesting to watch in the wake of Amitabh Chaudhary becoming MD and CEO of Axis Bank, Edelweiss wrote in a report.

HDFC Life had earlier evaluated merger with Max Life and Chaudhry will be best positioned to evaluate strategic benefit of the tie-up, the report added.

Shares of the Gurugram-based engineering services company rose as much as 5.4 percent, the most in nearly a month, to Rs 275 after it received an order worth Rs 294.67 crore from railways for doubling Dharmavaram Penukunda rail lines for South Western Railways.

  • Adani Ports has 23 lakh shares change hands in a single block. Stock down 0.12 percent at Rs 377.
  • Buyers and sellers were not immediately known

    Source: Bloomberg

BQ Exclusive: RBI Initiates Special Audit Of IL&FS After Delay In Repaying Inter-Corporate Deposits

India’s rupee is set to come under pressure with the rest of its emerging market peers as the trade war shows no sign of abating after U.S. President Trump threatened to impose even more tariffs on Chinese goods.

Data late on Friday which showed India’s current-account deficit widened in the April-June quarter from a year ago due to a larger trade gap is unlikely to offer the battered rupee much comfort.

A Bloomberg survey had forecast a gap of $17.3 billion while the CAD widened to $15.8 billion. The implied opening from forward suggests the spot rupee may start trading at 72.17 per dollar, having ended at 71.7375 on Friday.

Meanwhile, the dour sentiment towards the currency was weighing on bonds. Yields on the 10-year bonds rose 8 basis points last week, although it did fall 3 basis points on Friday. Traders will eye the inflation report later this week and which is expected to show a drop in the headline number to below 4 percent.

Macquarie on Minda Industries

  • Initiated ‘Outperform’ with a price target of Rs 550, implying a potential upside of 36 percent from the last regular trade.
  • Dominant market share and technology leadership in core products.
  • Future ready products to gain from impending shift in Indian autos.
  • Well aligned to the growth drivers of Indian automotive industry.
  • Expect revenue, operating income and net profit to grow at a compounded annual growth rate of 24 percent, 28 percent and 34 percent over FY18-21.

Elara Capital on Cholamandalam Investment

  • Initiated ‘Buy’ with a price target of Rs 1,816, implying a potential upside og 26 percent from the last regular trade.
  • Solid core: Continues to shine on diversification, market share.
  • Expect broad-based AUM growth; expect 20 percent CAGR over FY18-21.
  • GNPA stable over FY18-21, with credit cost likely to sustain at 1 percent.

Elara Capital on Magma Fincorp

  • Initiated ‘Buy’ with a price target of Rs 190, implying a potential upside of 34 percent from the last regular trade.
  • Visible transformation: ongoing restructuring paying dividends.
  • Improving trajectory: AUM CAGR of 17 percent over FY18-21.
  • Expect credit cost fall to 2.1 percent in the financia year ending March 2021., thereby improving ROA.

Elara Capital on M&M Financial

  • Initiate Accumulate with a price target of Rs 501, implying a potential upside 9 percent from the last regular trade.
  • Play on rural revival: AUM CAGR of 18 percent over FY18-21.
  • Growth Drivers: ability to sustain NIM, revamped vertical structure and stable AUM growth.
  • Expect earnings CAGR of 30 percent over FY18-21 aided by AUM growth and reduction in credit cost.

Elara Capital on Shriram Transport Finance

  • Initiated ‘Accumulate’ with a price target of Rs 1,324, implying a potential upside of 9 percent from the last regular trade.
  • Concentrated play: The current financial performance holds key.
  • Concentration a dampener: AUM CAGR of 17 percent over FY18-21.
  • Waiting game: asset quality slow to show signs of sustainability.
  • Expect reversal in credit cost from the peaks of 4.4 percent in the previous financial year to 2.8 percent in the financial year ending March 2021.

Morgan Stanley on Havells India

  • Downgraded to ‘Equalweight’ from ‘Overweight’; hiked price target to Rs 712 from Rs 642, implying a potential upside of 6 percent from the last regular trade.
  • Remains in a structural sweet spot.
  • Lloyd is a potential growth boost in the medium term.
  • Downgrade on recent stock performance; See modest upside from current levels.

Citi on GAIL (India)

  • Upgraded to ‘Buy’ from ‘Neutral’; hiked price target to Rs 420 from Rs 408, implying a potential upside of 11 percent from the last regular trade.
  • Increasingly become a play on rising oil prices.
  • Positives: Rise in LPG prices, widening spread in gas trading and petchem stabilization.
  • Stock’s year-to-date underperformance offers an attractive entry point.

Citi on Wipro

  • Maintained ‘Sell’ with a price target of Rs 280, implying a potential downside of 14 percent from the last regular trade.
  • Management continues to be upbeat on demand environment.
  • Investments to be focused on digital, cloud and cybersecurity.
  • Growth catch versus peers remains key to any valuation rerating.

Goldman Sachs on Bajaj Auto

  • Maintained ‘Neutral’; raised price target to Rs 2,908 from Rs 2,685, implying a potential downside of 0.5 percent from the last regular trade.
  • Expect higher volumes across domestic and exports segments.
  • Expect higher average selling price on back of rupee weakness and recent price hike.
  • Full benefit of rupee weakness will get reflected in the next financial year.

Goldman Sachs on Two-wheelers

  • Price competition concerns ease as Bajaj raises price of CT100/Pulsar.
  • Within six months of dropping prices Bajaj has raised prices in the range of 1-4 percent.
  • Maintain Buy on TVS Motor and Neutral on Bajaj Auto and Hero MotoCorp.

Nomura on India Industrials

  • PSU share buyback news is a positive.
  • Cash distribution through any form is a welcome change.
  • Expect RoE boost in near-term and makes a case for a structural re-rating.
  • Buyback is a longer-term positive for PSUs in general.

Brokerages On Axis Bank

Edelweiss

  • Maintained ‘Hold’; hiked price target to Rs 647 from Rs 543, implying a potential upside of 0.3 percent from the last regular trade.
  • Appointment of Amitabh Chaudhry is a positive development because of a proven track record.
  • News already been doing the rounds and stock has outperformed recently.
  • Further structural re-rating will be driven by asset quality performance, visibility on execution and strategic changes.

Motilal Oswal

  • Maintained ‘Buy’; raised price target to Rs 750 from Rs 670, implying a potential upside of 16 percent from the last regular trade.
  • RBI’s approval removes a big overhang.
  • Building blocks falling in place to further strengthen recovery.
  • Expect earnings to start normalizing the second half of the current financial year onwards.

  • Nifty September Futures ended at 11,632.9, with a premium of 43.8 points versus 30 points.
  • September series: Nifty open interest up 2 percent and Bank Nifty open interest unchanged.
  • India VIX ended at 13.8, up 1.2 percent.
  • Max open interest for September series call at 11,800 strike price call option, (open interest at 40 lakh, open interest down 4 percent).
  • Max open interest for September series put at 11,500 strike price put option (open interest at 47.6 lakh, open interest up 14 percent).

Insider Trades
  • Apollo Tyres promoter Classic Auto Tubes acquired 1.5 lakh shares on Sept. 5.
  • UPL promoter acquired 1 lakh shares on Sept. 5.
  • Apar Industries promoter acquired 11,000 shares on Sept. 5-6.
  • AU Small Finance Bank promoter group sold 21,000 shares July 27-Aug. 10.

(As reported on Sept. 7)

Trading Tweaks

  • Texmo Pipes & Products placed under ASM framework.
  • GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals last trading day before ex date for 1:1 bonus.

  • Asian Paints to meet Government of Singapore Investment Corporation and AXA Investment Managers U.K. on Sept. 11.
  • Mahanagar Gas to meet SBICAP Securities and Ocean Dial Asset Management on Sept. 11.
  • Mannapuram Finance to meet Quantum Securities on Sept. 12.

Here are some key events coming up this week:

  • Policy decisions from the Bank of England and the European Central Bank.
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will meet.
  • Apple unveils its latest iPhones.

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