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This Article is From May 22, 2024

IDFC First Bank - Industry Leading Deposits, Net Profit Growth To Drive Re-Rating: ICICI Securities

IDFC First Bank - Industry Leading Deposits, Net Profit Growth To Drive Re-Rating: ICICI Securities
An IDFC First Bank branch. (Source: NDTV Profit)
STOCKS IN THIS STORY
IDFC First Bank Ltd.
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NDTV Profit's special research section collates quality and in-depth equity and economy research reports from across India's top brokerages, asset managers and research agencies. These reports offer NDTV Profit's subscribers an opportunity to expand their understanding of companies, sectors and the economy.

ICICI Securities Report

We upgrade IDFC First Bank Ltd. to Buy (from Hold) as we see the near-term (H1 FY25) stagnation in the cost-to-income ratio/rise in credit costs likely being outweighed by industry-leading deposits/loan/PAT growth.

For FY24-26, we see deposits growth (~13-14% compound annual growth rate) and PAT growth (mid-teen CAGR) as key challenges for the banking system. That said, we believe IDFC First Bank with industry leading deposits growth (26% CAGR over FY24-26; double of industry) and PAT growth (~30% CAGR; double of industry) look exciting.

IDFC First Bank is also likely to be least impacted by the RBI's Projects Under Implementation draft guidelines. Merger consummation within a quarter, or so, should lift FY25E/26E book value per share by 3โ€“4% (not in our estimates yet) on reduced share-count.

We broadly maintain our PAT estimates (upgrade of ~1%). We raise our target price to Rs 95 (from Rs 85), valuing the stock at ~1.7 times FY26E ABV.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

ICICI Securities IDFC First Bank Company Update.pdf
VIEW DOCUMENT

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