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This Article is From Jan 29, 2020

How Budget 2020 May Offer Respite To Various Sectors

How Budget 2020 May Offer Respite To Various Sectors
Parliament House in New Delhi. (Photographer: T. Narayan/Bloomberg)  

Most analysts expect the government to increase its outlay for various sectors in a bid to revive the slowing economy.

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present the first full budget of the Narendra Modi government's second term on Feb. 1.

Here's a sector-wise list of what analysts from Antique Stock Broking, CARE Ratings, Citi, Edelweiss Capital and IIFL Finance Ltd. expect from Budget 2020:

Agrochemicals

  • Increase in the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act outlay and agri credit will aid all agrochemicals and fertiliser companies.
  • Increase in the subsidy allocation of urea and complex will benefit all major fertiliser companies.
  • Increase in allocation towards nutrient-based subsidy will aid the sector.

Automobile

  • Scrappage policy will aid both auto and ancillary sectors.
  • Lower individual tax rate will aid two-wheelers more.
  • Higher infra and rural spending will aid two-wheelers and tractors.

Banks

  • Allocation of funds to recapitalise lenders will aid public sector banks.
  • Fiscal road map and borrowing program if higher will dent state-run banks.
  • Higher tax deductions related to home loans will aid housing finance companies.

Also Read: Budget 2020: Further PSU Bank Recapitalisation Seen Unlikely

Building Materials

  • Impetus for the real estate sector will aid pipemakers, tilemakers and sanitaryware makers.

Cement

  • Higher allocation to infrastructure and low-cost housing will aid all cement makers.
  • Removal of clean energy cess on coal will aid margins.

Also Read: BQ Survey: Cement Prices Rise To Five-Month High In January

FMCG and Consumer Durables

  • Higher allocation to rural-centric schemes and reduction in personal tax will aid all FMCG and consumer durable companies.

Also Read: India's FMCG Sector Growth Slows For Fifth Straight Quarter, Says Nielsen

Industrials

  • Increase in investments in key infrastructure sectors will aid engineering, procurement and construction firms and heavy engineering companies.
  • Increase in budgeted amount for metro projects.
  • Increased allocation to the defence sector.

Infrastructure

IT

  • Potential extension of special economic zone tax benefit sunset clause which is expiring on March 31, 2020.

Logistics

  • Infrastructure status will aid all logistics companies.

Metals & Mining

  • Reduction in import duty of coking coal and coke will aid steelmakers due to lower input costs.

Oil & Gas

  • Inclusion of natural gas under GST will impact all gas stocks.

Pharmaceuticals

  • Tax incentives for new plants will aid the entire sector.
  • Weighted average deduction to R&D could be increased, aiding the sector.

Also Read: Budget 2020: Invoking Fiscal ‘Escape Clause' May Allow RBI To Buy Government Bonds Directly

Real Estate

  • Increase in deduction limit for homebuyers will aid the sector.

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