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This Article is From Aug 12, 2021

Penny Stock Boom at Risk as India Bourse Curbs Price Volatility

Penny Stock Boom at Risk as India Bourse Curbs Price Volatility
Freshly cut blank coins sit at the coin blanking shop at a factory in India. (Photographer: Udit Kulshrestha/Bloomberg)
STOCKS IN THIS STORY
Goenka Business & Finance Ltd.
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Cosco (India) Ltd.
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Nifty Capital Markets
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Nifty Top 20 Equal Weight
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MSCI World
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MSCI AC Asia ex-Japan
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Ajmera Realty & Infra India Ltd.
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New measures proposed by Asia's oldest bourse to curb “excessive price movements” in so-called penny stocks pose hurdles for the millions of newbie traders who have thronged to that segment of India's $3.1 trillion equity market.

BSE Ltd. will introduce price bands on the movement of certain stocks based on their performance over a period of six months, one year, two years and three years, the exchange said Wednesday. That's in addition to standard daily limits.

The changes come as small-and mid-cap shares have been at the forefront of the relentless surge in Indian equities since the March 2020 pandemic lows, with gains driven by ample liquidity and first-time investors chasing high returns.

The measures effective Aug. 23 have already prompted a swift shift, with the S&P BSE Small Cap Index of 688 stocks falling for a third straight session on Wednesday to head for its lowest close in over a month. Still, the gauge is up more than 80% over 12 months, about double the gains of the S&P BSE Sensex -- the benchmark for blue-chips.

“Given the sharp upsurge in mid, small caps, notably retail-led penny stocks, BSE's add-on price bands could be a welcome step to curb speculative excesses,” said Nitin Chanduka, a strategist with Bloomberg Intelligence. “However, exchanges need to be cognizant of maintaining a balance between price discovery and implementing safeguard measures as many times such steps accentuate downside, providing no exit for investors.”

Retail investors now hold almost 70% of the free float of penny stocks, compared to 2% holdings of local mutual funds, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.

Historically, a jump in penny stocks has been a signal to show caution, as these usually have sketchier fundamentals and are typical momentum plays, Gaurav Patankar, head of emerging-market equity strategy at Bloomberg Intelligence, wrote in a note.

Markets followed previous periods of soaring penny-stock activity in 2007, 2010 and 2014 by trading rotationally, with average declines of 10%, he added. “We think that could be the case in this cycle.”

READ MORE: India Robinhood Traders' Microcap Frenzy Fans Flames of Pullback

©2021 Bloomberg L.P.

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