Factory-gate shipments of almost all the automakers for March are expected to rise in the range of 3-20% over the previous month, data compiled from research reports of Motilal Oswal, Emkay Global, Dolat Capital and Prabhudas Lilladher showed.
Volumes are, however, not comparable year-on-year due to the low base on account of Covid-19 lockdown last year, and transition to stricter Bharat Stage VI norms.
Passenger vehicle sales to remain the strongest, Deep Shah and Amber Shukla, analysts at Prabhudas Lilladher, said in a note. They expect a healthy sentiment as volumes are expected to grow, led by demand from north, central and south India. “Retail volumes have surpassed pre-Covid level as both rural and urban demand grew 30-35% year-on-year and 10-15% year-on-year, respectively,” the analyst said.
Commercial vehicle volumes are expected to improve month-on-month due to improving freight availability and higher freight rates that is aiding the sentiments of the transporters.
The buoyancy in demand sentiment in commercial vehicles is led by 55-60% higher inquiries from construction activities due to increased demand, gradual pickup in tractor-trailer segment and improved demand for haulage, Shah and Shukla wrote.
Two-wheeler demand, however, is expected to remain weak as the cost of ownership rose because of fuel inflation. This caused the inventory levels to rise to five to seven weeks from four to six weeks in the previous month, according to Prabhudas Lilladher.
Data compiled from four research reports showed that two-wheeler firms are expected to grow 3-6% over previous month in March.