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Motilal Oswal Report
Regarded as one of the world's finest literary achievements, 'War and Peace' – authored by the great Russian novelist Leo Tolstoy – chronicles the French invasion of Russia and the consequent influence of the Napoleonic era on the Tsarist society.
Ironically the situation has changed drastically now and in this ‘Piece' of report we will chronicle the Russia-Ukraine geopolitical conflict and its far-reaching global consequences. We will also examine its potential impact on several sectors, while being fully cognisant of the unpredictability of the event and thus the many ‘unknown unknowns' inherent to any such analysis.
Since the past two years, a chain of unprecedented events unfolded and disrupted the global economic equilibrium considerably. The mayhem caused by the pandemic in 2020 was followed by the Fed's decision to raise interest rates (to fight elevated inflation) and unwind ultra-easy monetary policy.
While the world was grappling with these twin blows and as it was emerging from the latest wave of Covid-19 (Omicron), the Russia-Ukraine crisis has exacerbated the macro backdrop and caused commotion in global equity, bond and commodity markets with sharply elevated volatility.
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