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This Article is From Oct 22, 2019

Brokerages Hike UltraTech Cement Stock’s Target Price Despite Q2 Miss

Brokerages Hike UltraTech Cement Stock’s Target Price Despite Q2 Miss
Contractors lay down cement during construction. (Photographer: Victor Moriyama/Bloomberg)  

Most analysts hiked their target for UltraTech Cement Ltd. stock price anticipating a pickup in demand after heaviest monsoons in 25 years.

The Aditya Birla Group company's quarterly profit rose 72.3 percent over the previous year, missing estimates while volumes dropped 1 percent year-on-year to 17.2 million tonnes.

Meanwhile, analysts remained cautious on UltraTech's turnaround plan for the newly acquired Century Textiles & Industries Ltd. plants by next fiscal.

Here's what the brokerages have to say about UltraTech's second-quarter performance:

Morgan Stanley

  • Maintain ‘Overweight' rating; hiked target price to Rs 5,000 per share from Rs 4,760.
  • Management expects turnaround in Century unit over six-12 months.
  • Century to break even in profit-before-tax over 12 months.
  • Expect volume growth to improve in second half of fiscal.
  • Announcement of expansion plans in east India surprising.

HSBC

  • Maintain ‘Reduce' rating with target price unchanged at Rs 3,520 per share.
  • Standalone performance (barring Century unit) was weaker than expected.
  • Century unit's Q2 performance was disappointing.
  • Century plants running at 48 percent capacity in Q2FY20 vs 64 percent in previous year.

CLSA

  • Maintain ‘Buy' rating; target price hiked marginally to Rs 5,500.
  • Good second-quarter results but Century Textiles' unit makes comparison difficult.
  • Deleveraging is key; despite which expansion of 3.4 million tonne capacity approved in east India.
  • Don't see concern for balance sheet given strong profitability trend.
  • Century's unit Ebitda guidance of Rs 400-500 per tonne for second half of fiscal looks conservative.

Citi

  • Maintain ‘Buy' rating; reduces target price from Rs 5,300 to Rs 5,130 due to uncertainty over Century business.
  • Expect demand and price improvement after Diwali.

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