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RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das Press Conference: MPC Leaves Repo Rate Unchanged; To Normalise CRR In Two Phases

RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das Press Conference: MPC Leaves Repo Rate Unchanged; To Normalise CRR In Two Phases
RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das sits for a press conference at the RBI headquarters in Mumai. (Source: PTI)
5 years ago
Follow live updates from MPC's post-policy statement and RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das' press conference.

  • Good to note that GST revenues have come back and showing better collections
  • Our concern as debt manager of the government is what the government's borrowing programme is
  • We have to see the deviation from glide path in the context of the extraordinary situation the country is going through
  • We have ensured the lowest borrowing cost for the government in the past
  • Will be able to implement the borrowing programme in a non-disruptive manner in the future

  • Short of announcing an AQR, doing deep dive about true state of affairs of bad assets at NBFCs
  • Already making assessment of true state of NPAs in each bank, have sense of overall situation

Have taken measures in the past on forward premia when it becomes necessary

  • There is a hunt for yields globally
  • Will ensure orderly function through our market operations

  • Demand has moved beyond ‘pent-up’ phase to actual demand
  • Demand curve is expected to be much more sustained

  • Awaiting a formal proposal from government on bad bank
  • Will examine such a proposal and come up with views

RBI Nudges Retail Investment In Government Bonds With Direct Access

  • NBFC discussion paper is out and we have called for comments
  • Will take a decision on this regard as soon as we receive comments on discussion paper

  • When CRR reduction was announced we had announced that it would normalised on March 27
  • We went one step further and made it a phased process
  • Withdrawal of liquidity through CRR will be replenished with other measures
  • RBI is very conscious that borrowing programme of the government will need to be a smooth process
  • This is why the HTM extension was provided

  • Retail Direct is a major structural reform
  • World-over very few countries have done that, we are the first in Asia
  • It has been our endeavour to make the G-sec market accessible to retail investors
  • Digital currency is a work in progress at the RBI
  • ‘Retail Direct’ a paradigm shift that you and I can open direct accounts through e-Kuber system, says RBI deputy governor BP Kanungo.

    • Retail investors were able to access the NDSO through an aggregator model
    • Will be coming out with details very soon

  • G-sec yields are benchmark on which corporate bond market and all bonds are priced
  • It is a public good to manage the yield curve
  • Impacts a wider cross section of the financial market
  • When banks are reducing their lending rates, part of it also goes to the savers
  • Small savings scheme of the government is another avenue for small savers

  • Have previously stated that accommodative stance would continue well into next year

  • Never spelt out June as the date when this guidance would end

  • Variable rate reverse repo auctions part of our toolkit

  • Overall liquidity remains the same, certain portion is taken within the 14 day reverse repo window

Indian sovereign bonds declined as the Reserve Bank of India’s measures to support the bond market fell short of expectations.

The yield on benchmark 10-year note rose four basis points to 6.11% after climbing to 6.15%, its highest since Aug. 28. Governor Shaktikanta Das refrained from announcing a bond purchase calendar to help the market absorb the government’s massive borrowing plan, though he assured that the central bank’s liquidity stance will continue to be accommodative.

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Reserve Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das will now hold a press conference at 12 p.m.

“Going forward the Indian economy is poised to move in only one direction which is upwards. It is our strong conviction backed by forecasts, that in FY22 we will undo the damage that Covid-19 has inflicated the economy. After the chaos and dispair of the year gone by through which we have sailed together, we shall continue to sail ahead.”

  • Decided to integrate three existing ombudsman schemes and provide a centralised scheme
  • Integrated ombudsman scheme to be rolled out by June 2021

  • Central government and RBI have taken several steps to encourage retail investment in government securities
  • Proposed to provide retail investors access to government bond market, both primary and secondary, directly through the RBI
  • Retail investors will now have direct access to participate in the G-Sec market

RBI To Include NBFCs Under Long-Term Operations

  • Large government borrowing programme was managed seamlessly during April to December.
  • Explicit forward guidance was an innovative feature in monetary policy.
  • Maintenance of financial stability and orderly evolution of yield curve were explicitly regarded as public goods
  • Convinced by RBI's communications and actions market players reacted synchronously
  • On Jan. 11 money market rates firmed up on perceived misconception of RBI reversing accommodative money market stance
  • The stance of liquidity management continues to be accommodative and completely in consonance with the stance of monetary policy
  • Reserve money rose by 14.5% year on year on Jan. 29 led by currency demand; Money supply grew by 12.5% on Jan. 15
  • A two-phase normalisation of the CRR needs to be seen in current context
  • CRR normalisation opens up space for a variety of market options to inject additional liquidity
  • Gross market borrowing of Centre is estimated at Rs 12 lakh crore
  • Look forward to common understanding and cooperative approach between market participants and RBI in 2021-22

  • RBI projects CPI inflation at 5.2% in Q4 FY21
  • RBI projects CPI inflation at 5.2-5.0% in first half of FY22
  • RBI projects CPI inflation at 4.3% in Q3 FY22

GDP growth projected in 10.5% in FY22, says Governor Das

“MPC judged that need of the hour is continue to support growth, return growth to higher trajectory,” the RBI Governor said.

Mint Street To North Block: ‘I Have Your Back’

A Bloomberg poll of 32 economists showed that five expected a rate cut while the remaining expected a status quo. The repo rate has been cut by 115 basis points since the Covid-19 pandemic hit in March.

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