Weak macros failed to dent markets’ enthusiasm, as November figures were expected to be on the weaker side, and with budget announcement expected in just a month, sentiment remained positive. However, with U.S. market back after holidays, global cues will have more weightage in the coming days especially with jobs data scheduled this week.”
A Bloomberg survey shows that India's GDP grew at less than 7 percent compared to an early estimate from government advisors of as much as 7.75 percent. For bond bulls, the surprise good news is that the government has cut its FY17 borrowing by Rs 18,000 crore, which will help maintain the positive momentum and yields are bound to fall.
In currencies, the dollar has retreated from its New Year rally and Asians currencies like the won are trading stronger. The rupee, which declined in the last session could recover some lost ground today.
Reports on Sunday showed China’s official factory gauge stabilised near a post-2012 high while services remained robust, capping a year of steady improvement in both indicators. A private factory gauge released Tuesday also came in better than anticipated. Swaps contracts show expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates twice this year, after increasing them once in each of the past two years.
Back home, impact of the note ban seems to be weighing on industrial output with core sector growth decelerating to 4.9 percent in November 2016 as against 6.6 percent in the previous month. However, on an annual basis, the eight core sectors reported healthy growth over November 2015 figure of 0.6 percent.