Tariff War: Global Manufacturing Activity Contracts For First Time This Year
Global manufacturing activity contracted for the first time this year in April, dragged down by shrinking orders and employment.
The JPMorgan Global Manufacturing Index decreased to 49.8 from 50.3 a month earlier as uncertainty around US trade and tariff policies weighed on demand and business expectations. Figures below 50 indicate contraction.
The future output index fell to the lowest level since October 2022 and has slid 4.5 points since President Donald Trump was elected in November.
A gauge of factory output prices edged up to the highest since March 2023, according to the report. Input prices held steady in April but at a level considerably higher on average than in the prior two years.
Meanwhile, new orders contracted for the first time since December, and a measure of export orders fell by 2.8 points. That was the biggest drop since March 2022, consistent with the slowdown in global manufacturing activity. At 47.2, the gauge is the weakest since August 2023.
Manufacturers are responding to changing demand and supply conditions by trimming headcounts. The measure of global factory employment contracted for the ninth consecutive month, the longest such stretch since the pandemic.
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