Millenials Are Still Hooked on Freebies in Gulf Nanny States
(Bloomberg) -- The generation that came of age after the Arab Spring is clinging to the perks that helped the richest states in the region dodge turmoil even as their governments now grapple with lower oil prices.
Most young Arabs say it's their government's responsibility to foot the bill for essential needs such as education and housing, according to a survey published this week by Dubai-based communications agency ASDA'A BCW.
The attitude was particularly true of respondents in the Gulf Cooperation Council, comprising six monarchies including Saudi Arabia, where around four-fifths or more want the state to provide benefits ranging from energy subsidies to jobs and health care.
Read more: A Ghost Army of the Not-Very-Employed Haunts Gulf Rulers
The poll of people aged 18 to 24 also showed that for a second year, the rising cost of living and unemployment were named as the top concerns facing the Middle East. The lack of democracy ranked eighth. The survey is based on 3,300 face-to-face interviews conducted in January in 15 countries in the Middle East and North Africa. It didn't include Syria or Qatar.
The mindset bred by decades of living in a nanny state has changed little in the four years since the collapse of crude prices forced the leaders in the oil-rich Gulf to lower subsidies and put economic reform on the agenda. Rising populations and the volatile outlook for oil are still pushing governments to tinker with a social contract that underwrote stability in return for citizens' loyalty and having no say in how they are governed.
The balancing act may not be tenable for long if public finances prove no match for expectations and deeply held attitudes about the long reach of the state endure among younger people.
Governments remain employers-of-first-resort, ballooning wage bills that tend to be the biggest spending item in the region. Most nations still provide at least some citizens with a piece of land and an interest-free loan to build a home.
In Saudi Arabia, the region's largest country, nearly 60 percent of its citizens are under 30, meaning the kingdom's labor force could almost double by 2030, McKinsey & Co. estimated in a 2015 report.
To contact the reporter on this story: Zainab Fattah in Dubai at zfattah@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Alaa Shahine at asalha@bloomberg.net, Paul Abelsky, Amy Teibel
©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
-
Talking Points This Week: Tech Nerves, FII Buying, And A Faraway Banking Shock
The global markets are not shining this Diwali. The exception in the large markets is, India.
-
Midterm Rally Lasted A Day. The Hard Reality Of A Divided US May Last Two Years | Opinion
Between a contested AI boom, a debt ceiling that arrives in 2027 and a president with every incentive to act alone, the next two years may prove more volatile than the first day's rally suggests.
-
Blue Wave Will Derail the AI Trade but Won't Dismantle the AI Era | Unhedged Position
The Democrats' sweep of the US Congress will see politics collide with economic forces both over the long and short term.
-
It's Time To Take The GST Council's Bet On Trust Global
Payment records can prove India's services exports, and clear, proportionate rules can bring foreign digital sellers into the tax net.
-
Opinion | India at 38: From Innovation Overperformer to Innovation Powerhouse
India now has 453 VC-backed deep science startups, 18 of them late-stage, after 117 percent growth since 2020. Laurus Labs, at USD 9.3 billion, is the most valuable deep science company in any middle-income economy outside China.
-
Navigating Energy Crossroads: S Jaishankar's Call For Diversified Supply Chains At G20 Ministerial Meeting
As geopolitical fault lines continue to test maritime trade routes and commodity flows, Jaishankar's message remains pertinent: true economic resilience requires open markets, protected transit lines, and a genuine commitment to multilateral cooperation rather than coercion.
-
Indians Are Travelling, But Not Every Journey Is A Holiday | The Week In Whys
Pilgrims, patients and working women are the real travellers, and the system hasn't quite caught up with them.
-
Getting To Work Costs Women More | The Reason Why
It is not just about women paying more than men. It is about women paying much more in cities than in villages.
-
AI Bias In Investing Cannot Be Eliminated, But It Can Be Governed
Framing is a particularly important example as identical financial information presented in terms of gains rather than losses can lead an LLM to reach a different assessment.