Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day
(Bloomberg) --
Equity markets had smoother sailing thanks to reassuring words from the White House and PBOC. North Korea wants to hack your crypto account. And China ups the pressure on India's Kashmir decision. Here are some of the things people in markets are talking about today.
Serenity Now
Asian equity futures were mixed as U.S. stocks recovered somewhat from Monday's bloodbath, with all major indexes gaining more than 1%. The White House put an optimistic spin on the trade friction, with Larry Kudlow saying the administration still expects Beijing's negotiators to come to Washington for talks in September and will look at China's steps to support the yuan. Meanwhile, the PBOC reassured a number of foreign exporters the currency won't continue to weaken significantly. But the half-baked sell-off has traders worried the worst is yet to come.Â
Trump and Xi's Big Bets
Despite a market recovery, ties between the U.S. and China are at their lowest point in decades. A big part of the problem is that neither country's leader believes the other is serious about making a trade deal: China sees Trump as posturing ahead of the 2020 election, while U.S. officials think Xi is looking to wait him out for a better deal. Either way, the political space for compromise is diminishing as hardliners take center stage, prompting investors to weigh the potential economic fallout. As the world waits to see what comes next, here's why the U.S. made its latest move.Â
Master Hacker
North Korea has mastered hacking into financial systems, stealing about $2 billion from banks and cryptocurrency exchanges for its nuclear weapons programs, a new UN report found. Pyongyang also has overseas representatives controlling bank accounts. Newly unsealed court documents show the U.S. is probing transactions involving three big Chinese banks that allegedly helped finance North Korea's nuclear program.
Kashmir Tensions Rise
Beijing criticized India's decision to withdraw the autonomous status of Kashmir, which borders China, accusing New Delhi of undermining the state's territorial sovereignty. (The region includes two areas that are controlled by China and claimed by India.) Pakistani PM Imran Khan said the move may lead to war, and the nation's army pledged to go to "any extent" to defend the people of the disputed state.
Rate Cuts Coming
New Zealand and India will probably both cut rates by 25 basis points Wednesday, while the Bank of Thailand is expected to hold. The RBNZ is seeking to support the labor market and reduce upward pressure on the kiwi and may hint at further easing, economists said. The RBI's reduction will be its fourth in a row, amid calls from investors and the government to do more to boost growth.
What we've been reading
This is what's caught our eye over the last 24 hours.
- Singapore Airlines picks a crucial fight against Emirates in India.Â
- Why Hong Kong's still protesting and where it may go.
- Bullard pushes back at suggestions that the Fed will cut rates.
- Hong Kong assets are turning toxic as the trade war and protests roll on.Â
- U.S. teachers and firemen fund the rise of China tech without knowing it.
- The market for personal translation devices is booming.
- How to spend $100,000 on a car while you're in line at the grocery store.Â
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alexandria Arnold at abaca3@bloomberg.net
©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
-
A New Samvat Wishlist: Inclusive Prosperity And Human Development
India has strengthened its economic foundations through infrastructure, digital access and enterprise. Its next growth chapter must deepen productivity, create better livelihoods and widen participation in prosperity.
-
Love, Sex Aur Dhokha: The Audacious Plot To Spy On Jensen Huang
A Taipei dinner, a Singapore chip buyer and a suspected Chinese asset: inside the alleged spy operation that got close to NVIDIA's Jensen Huang.
-
Ten Things I Learnt This Samvat
Patience can be a trap. Cheap stocks can stay cheap. Leverage can wipe you out. What did Samvat 2082 teach us? Niraj Shah writes on 10 lessons from the year gone by.
-
Talking Points This Week: Tech Nerves, FII Buying, And A Faraway Banking Shock
The global markets are not shining this Diwali. The exception in the large markets is, India.
-
Midterm Rally Lasted A Day. The Hard Reality Of A Divided US May Last Two Years | Opinion
Between a contested AI boom, a debt ceiling that arrives in 2027 and a president with every incentive to act alone, the next two years may prove more volatile than the first day's rally suggests.
-
Blue Wave Will Derail the AI Trade but Won't Dismantle the AI Era | Unhedged Position
The Democrats' sweep of the US Congress will see politics collide with economic forces both over the long and short term.
-
It's Time To Take The GST Council's Bet On Trust Global
Payment records can prove India's services exports, and clear, proportionate rules can bring foreign digital sellers into the tax net.
-
Opinion | India at 38: From Innovation Overperformer to Innovation Powerhouse
India now has 453 VC-backed deep science startups, 18 of them late-stage, after 117 percent growth since 2020. Laurus Labs, at USD 9.3 billion, is the most valuable deep science company in any middle-income economy outside China.
-
Navigating Energy Crossroads: S Jaishankar's Call For Diversified Supply Chains At G20 Ministerial Meeting
As geopolitical fault lines continue to test maritime trade routes and commodity flows, Jaishankar's message remains pertinent: true economic resilience requires open markets, protected transit lines, and a genuine commitment to multilateral cooperation rather than coercion.