Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day
(Bloomberg) -- Want to receive this post in your inbox every morning? Sign up here.
Oil's flagging, euro-area inflation hits the 2 percent target, and the stars align around a March increase for the Fed. Here are some of the things people in markets are talking about today.
Brainard folds
The dollar strengthened overnight as the hitherto dovish Lael Brainard became the latest Federal Reserve official to suggest conditions may "soon" be propitious for raising rates. Options traders scrambling to price in a March hike exchanged a record volume of Fed futures contracts yesterday, while those expectations are also having impacts farther afield. Check out emerging-market borrowers, who are selling bonds at an unprecedented pace ahead of the anticipated increase. As of 4 a.m. Eastern Time, the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was gaining for a fifth day, up against every G-10 currency this week.
Two percent
Euro-area inflation, out at 5 a.m. Eastern Time, accelerated to its fastest pace since January 2013. Analysts had expected it to hit the 2 percent mark, but doing so may still provide ammunition to those calling for an exit from the European Central Bank's monetary stimulus program. The bank's latest projections foresee an average inflation rate of 1.3 percent this year. It will have the chance to update that forecast when its Governing Council meets next week.Â
Equities elated
Outside Europe, stocks are on a giddy tear, as growth-optimism mounts — even if it definitely wasn't today's Swiss GDP print that gave them that feeling. Stock gauges worldwide chalked up a handful of bullish levels: U.S. and U.K. indexes set records on Wednesday, Japanese stocks jumped to the highest since December 2015 today, while European stocks were fluctuating after closing at the highest level in more than a year the day before. Â
Crude sterling
By coincidence, both oil and the pound are mired in their longest losing streaks in two months. By 4:55 a.m., oil was sliding for a third day as record-high U.S. crude stockpiles were seen jeopardizing OPEC's efforts to drain a global surplus, even while Saudi Arabia's February shipments fell. In newly released U.K. data, a gauge of construction-industry demand dropped for a second month in February. Prime Minister Theresa May vowed to have another go, after her Brexit bill was defeated in Parliament's second chamber on Wednesday.
Snap IPO
Snap Inc., the Los Angeles-based maker of disappearing photo technology favored by millennials, will start trading on the New York Stock Exchange today. Having priced shares above the marketed range, the company's going public at a valuation more than twice that of Facebook Inc. and four times more than Twitter Inc. Demand outpaced the number of shares being offered by a multiple of 10, people familiar with the situation said.
What we've been readingÂ
This is what's caught our eye over the last 24 hours.
- Ray Dalio's unorthodox culture.
- No specifics = no problem for market bulls still bent on reflation.
- Investors are starting to pay attention to Chinese politics again.
- Someone should tell U.K. bonds their friends are leaving.
- Saudi pitch to fund titans: We have $2 trillion, we need your expertise.
- Here's how long it takes to earn your breakfast around the world.
- Republicans hide the new Obamacare draft under a shroud of secrecy.
To contact the author of this story: Isobel Finkel in Istanbul at ifinkel1@bloomberg.net.
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Joe Weisenthal at jweisenthal@bloomberg.net, Sid Verma
-
Navigating Energy Crossroads: S Jaishankar's Call For Diversified Supply Chains At G20 Ministerial Meeting
As geopolitical fault lines continue to test maritime trade routes and commodity flows, Jaishankar's message remains pertinent: true economic resilience requires open markets, protected transit lines, and a genuine commitment to multilateral cooperation rather than coercion.
-
Indians Are Travelling, But Not Every Journey Is A Holiday | The Week In Whys
Pilgrims, patients and working women are the real travellers, and the system hasn't quite caught up with them.
-
Getting To Work Costs Women More | The Reason Why
It is not just about women paying more than men. It is about women paying much more in cities than in villages.
-
AI Bias In Investing Cannot Be Eliminated, But It Can Be Governed
Framing is a particularly important example as identical financial information presented in terms of gains rather than losses can lead an LLM to reach a different assessment.
-
Joining The Dots | Dark Skies, Steady Diya: Why Hope Holds This Diwali
With war, a weak rupee and foreign outflows weighing on sentiment, policymakers at the NDTV World Summit and market veterans at NDTV Profit Ignite: Diwali Edition offered the same advice: stay invested and filter out the noise.
-
The Curious Case of Equitas Small Finance Bank And A CEO Who Quit For Stock
PN Vasudevan believes persistent investor concerns over a perceived conflict of interest had become a governance overhang on Equitas Small Finance Bank's stock, even as the lender improved profitability and asset quality.
-
Talking Points This Week: AI Cash Burn, A Tiger Comeback And An India That Still Finds Its Own Path
India is not immune to higher oil or tighter global liquidity, yet its earnings base is broader, its domestic policy levers are still available.
-
Foreign Investors Own Half Of HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank. An LTCG Cut Could Matter Most Here
Foreign portfolio investors have US$115 billion parked in HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank. If the government cuts long-term capital gains tax, Jefferies says returning foreign money could land here first.
-
'Never Seen This Level Of Negativity': Sandeep Tandon Says The Next Rally May Be Closer Than You Think
Veteran investor Sandeep Tandon says foreign selling is easing, large-caps are due a comeback and mid-caps are crowded, while he turns positive on gold, power and pharma this Diwali.