Polls of Senate Races Boost GOP Prospects for Retaining Control
(Bloomberg) -- The prospect of Republicans retaining control of the U.S. Senate are looking better, according to polls of races in Texas, Florida and Arizona by CBS News conducted by YouGov and published Sunday.
The polls find incumbent Texas Republican Senator Ted Cruz with a lead of 50 percent to 40 percent over Democratic Representative Beto O'Rourke, and Florida Democratic Senator Bill Nelson behind Republican challenger Rick Scott, the state's governor, among likely voters by a margin of 41 percent to 46 percent.
Democrats need to gain two seats for a majority in the Senate, which is currently divided 51-49 percent in favor of Republicans. The race in Texas has been considered a prime pickup opportunity for Democrats, along with contests in Nevada and Arizona.
Nelson is a prime Republican target, along with other Democratic senators in states that President Donald Trump won in 2016. They include Indiana Senator Joe Donnelly; West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin; Missouri Senator Claire McCaskill; Montana Senator Jon Tester ; and North Dakota Senator Heidi Heitkamp.
Arizona Flip?
In good news for Democrats, Representative Kyrsten Sinema is polling ahead of all three Republicans competing in an August primary for the Senate seat being vacated by Jeff Flake.
Sinema is at 45 percent among likely voters compared with 37 percent for Representative Martha McSally, and is also ahead 46 percent to 38 percent in a potential match-up against Kelli Ward. Sinema leads former Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio, a controversial anti-immigrant figure, by 20 percentage points.
The polls were conducted June 19-22, during the uproar over Trump's immigration policies and family separations at the southern U.S. border.
The margin of error in the Arizona poll was about 3.7 percentage points. The poll in Texas had a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points, and the margin in the Florida poll completed was 3.5 percentage points.
To contact the reporter on this story: Erik Wasson in Washington at ewasson@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Joe Sobczyk at jsobczyk@bloomberg.net, Mark Niquette, Ros Krasny
©2018 Bloomberg L.P.
-
High US Salaries, No Green Card Certainty: The Financial Calculation Facing Indian H-1B Families
The suspension of PERM processing at eight technology employers does not cancel existing H-1B visas. What it does is force a question many Indian families have been avoiding: is the US salary worth tying your career and family plans to one employer?
-
Swiggy vs Eternal: Food Delivery's Two Rivals Are No Longer In The Same Race
Eternal is building a private AI assistant, dark.ai. Swiggy is still working out how to make Instamart pay, with an operating loss of Rs 895 crore in the July-September quarter while Blinkit stayed profitable.
-
Where You Live Shapes How You Get To Work | The Reason Why
Two-wheelers are the most popular way to get to work in India, accounting for nearly 43% of workplace commutes.
-
Unhedged Position: Can India See An Indonesia-Style Time Correction?
The Nifty is trading below levels it first clocked in 2024. Is there, then, as I have suggested in the headline, potential that the current time correction drags on painfully for the next three-five, even ten years?
-
Navigating Friction And Energy Realities: An Analysis Of Marco Rubio's October Visit To India
Occurring at a critical juncture marked by stalled trade negotiations and escalating geopolitical pressures over global energy supplies, the visit offers a profound window into modern US-India relations.
-
India Exports Capital. Why Not Export Trusteeship?
The big question, then, is whether India can build an institution that global borrowers, investors, banks, and lawyers can trust, even without an Indian connection.
-
France's Economy & Politics Are In Crisis | The Reason Why
Let's look at how the French economy and politics evolved under Nicolas Sarkozy, Franois Hollande and Emmanuel Macron.
-
You May Inherit The Business. You Must Earn Its Credibility.
Succession tests the founder's ability to share authority as much as it tests the next generation's readiness to assume it.
-
Signing Deals Is One Thing; Making Them Work Is Another | The Week In Whys
Sometimes, things don't turn out as planned. Indian companies have lost some bids to rivals, some projects won't produce until 2030.
-
FOMC Wall, PERM Suspension, Hospital Stocks | Talking Points This Week
A PERM suspension would directly affect green-card sponsorship rather than H-1B visas, so the near-term earnings impact could remain relatively limited. The key question is whether this marks a new phase in US scrutiny of Indian IT.
